Should I Buy FPI? FPI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Farmland Partners Inc (FPI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

11.610

1 Day change

1.22%

52 Week Range

12.870

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price is pressing resistance (post-market ~11.55 vs R1 11.531 / R2 11.747) with momentum showing signs of cooling.
No Intellectia edge today: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Near-term probabilistic trend model is bearish (similar-pattern projection: ~-1.74% next day, ~-4.84% next week, ~-12.49% next month), which is unfavorable for an impatient entry.
Options flow is mixed-to-cautious (put volume dominates) and financial momentum in the latest reported quarter was weak (YoY declines).
Best stance: Hold / avoid new buys until either (1) a pullback closer to support (~11.18 or below) or (2) a fresh buy signal emerges ahead of/after earnings.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure on moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an uptrend is still intact.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive (0.0622) but positively contracting → upside momentum is fading.
RSI: RSI(6) ~69.83, near the upper end of “neutral” and close to overbought conditions → risk of short-term pullback.
Key levels: Pivot 11.182; Support S1 10.832 (then S2 10.616). Resistance R1 11.531 (currently being tested), then R2 11.747.
Price context: Post-market ~11.55 is slightly above R1, which often becomes a spot for either breakout failure (pullback) or a brief continuation to R2.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest: Calls 2129 vs Puts 1594; OI put/call = 0.75 → positioning slightly more call-leaning.
Volume: Very small total volume (29 contracts), but put/call volume ratio = 6.25 → today’s tape skewed bearish/hedging, despite low liquidity.
Volatility: 30D IV ~32.41 vs HV ~26.76 (IV > HV) and IV percentile ~68.92 → options are relatively expensive; sentiment implies higher near-term uncertainty.
Activity vs normal: Today’s volume is ~38.67% of 30D average → the bearish volume skew is notable but not strongly confirmed by heavy participation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

could re-rate the stock if results/forward commentary are strong.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

showed weakening fundamentals: revenue down YoY and profitability negative, which can cap upside and make the stock vulnerable on any earnings disappointment.
with RSI near 70 and MACD momentum fading.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 11.251M, -15.51% YoY (contraction).
Net income: -0.128M, down -112.45% YoY (turned meaningfully worse).
EPS: 0, -100% YoY (deterioration).
Gross margin: 71.1%, -3.23% YoY (slight margin compression).
Growth takeaway: Recent quarter indicates weakening operating momentum heading into the next earnings cycle (QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-24).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided in the dataset, so a confirmed trend in Wall Street upgrades/downgrades cannot be stated.
Wall Street-style pros (based on provided info): recurring distributions/special distribution; potential earnings catalyst; uptrend in moving averages.
Wall Street-style cons (based on provided info): latest quarter YoY declines in revenue/EPS and negative net income; near-term technicals look extended into resistance; mixed options sentiment with put-heavy volume.
Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity shown as neutral with no significant recent trends.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FPI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FPI is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy