Buy now: FOXA is deeply oversold (RSI-6 18) near support (66.72–68.24) after a sharp drop, which sets up a favorable near-term rebound setup for an impatient buyer.
Sentiment/catalysts skew positive: News flow highlights record ad strength and a revenue beat; Street price targets were recently raised aggressively (mostly Buys), implying meaningful upside from ~$67.
Key level to watch: A reclaim of the pivot (~70.69) would confirm momentum improving; failure to hold ~66.72 would signal the down-move is still in control.
Trend/momentum: MACD histogram -0.571 and negatively expanding → downside momentum remains active (still a downtrend).
Oversold: RSI_6 = 18.374 → statistically stretched/oversold, increasing odds of a short-term bounce.
Moving averages: Converging MAs → consolidation/transition phase; needs a break back above key levels to confirm reversal.
Support/Resistance:
Support: S1 ~68.236, S2 ~66.72 (price post-market ~67.24 is sitting between them)
Resistance: Pivot ~70.688, then R1 ~73.14, R2 ~74.656
Pattern-based forward odds (similar candlestick set): ~50% chance of -0.79% next day, +3.38% next week, +6.85% next month (bias improves on 1W/1M horizon).
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Put OI exceeds call OI (OI P/C 1.16; puts 9,532 vs calls 8,247) → more protective/defensive longer-dated positioning.
Today’s flow: Volume P/C 0.49 (calls > puts; calls 214 vs puts 104) → near-term trading flow leans more bullish/speculative despite heavier put OI.
Volatility: IV 30d ~34.61 vs historical vol ~19.7; IV percentile ~81.7 → options are relatively expensive and market is pricing elevated event risk.
Activity vs norms: Today volume 318 vs 30D avg comparison shown as ~65.84 (lower than typical), while open interest is near average (99.42 vs avg) → positioning is established, not a huge new stampede today.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Advertising strength: News cites record advertising revenue in fiscal 2026/Q2, driven by major sports events (MLB/NFL), supporting near-term revenue resilience.
Gross margin: 22.91%, down ~3.46% YoY (margin deterioration).
Read-through: Topline is holding up, but the market’s concern is clearly profitability/margins—this helps explain the selloff even with strong ad headlines.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: upgrades/targets moved up (mostly bullish):
Morgan Stanley (2025-12-18): Equal Weight, PT $74 (from $70)
Citi (2025-11-12): Buy, PT $77 (from $68)
Wall Street pros: Live sports/news portfolio seen as more resilient in pay-TV shifts; ad tailwinds from major events; improving optionality from Tubi/Fox One.
Wall Street cons: Even bulls expect a lot is driven by cyclical ad/event timing; profitability/margin execution is the swing factor.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no notable politician activity provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast FOXA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FOXA is 75.85 USD with a low forecast of 55 USD and a high forecast of 97 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FOXA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FOXA is 75.85 USD with a low forecast of 55 USD and a high forecast of 97 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 65.920
Low
55
Averages
75.85
High
97
Current: 65.920
Low
55
Averages
75.85
High
97
Citi
Buy
maintain
$77 -> $78
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$77 -> $78
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Fox Corp. to $78 from $77 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
UBS
John Hodulik
Buy
maintain
$76 -> $78
2026-02-05
New
Reason
UBS
John Hodulik
Price Target
$76 -> $78
2026-02-05
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS analyst John Hodulik raised the firm's price target on Fox Corp. to $78 from $76 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Fox Corp. reported core improvement ahead of cyclical tailwinds, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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