Should I Buy FIS? FIS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Fidelity National Information Services Inc (FIS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

51.930

1 Day change

2.18%

52 Week Range

83.970

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price is in a strong downtrend (bearish MAs + MACD accelerating lower), and the statistical pattern points to additional near-term downside.
Options market is flashing near-term caution (very high IV + heavy put volume), which typically aligns with uncertainty into the upcoming earnings event (2026-02-10 pre-market).
Positives (dividend hike, improving fundamentals, bullish Street targets) are real, but the tape and sentiment positioning suggest waiting for stabilization rather than buying immediately.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), confirming persistent downside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.953 and negatively expanding → sellers still in control.
Oversold: RSI(6) at 17.59 signals oversold conditions, but oversold can persist in strong downtrends.
Levels: Immediate support S1 ~52.11 (already being tested) and stronger support S2 ~49.56; pivot resistance ~56.23 then ~60.36.
Quant/Pattern outlook: Similar candlestick-pattern analysis suggests ~70% odds of -1.65% next day and -3.65% next week (only +0.75% next month), reinforcing weak near-term timing for an “impatient” entry.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Open-interest put/call at 0.57 suggests more call OI than puts (structurally bullish/covered-call heavy), but today’s flow is the opposite.
Flow/Sentiment: Put volume dominates (put/call volume 4.33; 904 puts vs 209 calls), implying near-term hedging or bearish speculation.
Volatility: 30D IV 46.28 vs historical vol 35.92; IV percentile 98.8 / IV rank 82.95 → options are pricing elevated event risk (consistent with earnings approaching).
Activity: Volume today vs 30D avg ~49.5% (not a blowout), but IV is very rich, implying fear/uncertainty is already priced into options.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Dividend catalyst: FIS raised its quarterly dividend by 10% to $0.44 (signals confidence in cash generation and can support valuation).
- Upcoming catalysts: Q4 2025 earnings on 2026-02-10 (pre-market); potential read-through on 2026 expectations.
- Street narrative: Multiple firms frame the recent pullback as an opportunity if FIS executes; several Overweight/Outperform stances with targets far above current price.
- Fundamentals trend (latest reported): Q3 2025 showed solid YoY growth in revenue, net income, and EPS.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical damage: Strong downtrend with deteriorating MACD suggests downside risk can continue even if the stock looks “cheap/oversold.”
- Event risk: Elevated implied volatility and heavy put volume indicate the market is bracing for a material move around earnings.
- Political/influential selling: Congress trading over the last 90 days shows 4 sales and 0 purchases (cautious signal).
- Near-term probability skew: Pattern analysis favors additional weakness over the next week.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $2.717B, +5.72% YoY (steady top-line growth).
Net income: $264M, +17.86% YoY (profit growth outpacing revenue).
EPS: $0.50, +21.95% YoY (stronger per-share earnings trend).
Margin: Gross margin 37.84%, -0.47% YoY (slight compression to monitor).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent rating/target trend: Predominantly positive coverage with targets generally ranging ~$69 to $85, though a few trims occurred (e.g., Stephens 90→85; Truist 70→69; JPM 85→80; Susquehanna 77→69).
Bull case (Wall St pros): Oligopolistic positioning, “returning to roots” as a consistent cash generator, and catalysts (earnings + corporate actions) could re-rate the stock; Keefe Bruyette explicitly calls the drawdown “perplexing” and sees a buying opportunity if estimates are met (PT $85).
Bear case (Wall St cons): Some caution around tougher comparisons/guidance resets; mixed views remain (e.g., Truist Hold; Susquehanna Neutral), which can cap near-term enthusiasm until execution is proven.

15 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FIS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FIS is 80.31 USD with a low forecast of 65 USD and a high forecast of 90 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

5 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 50.820

Low

Averages

80.31

High

Current: 50.820

Low

Averages

80.31

High

Keefe Bruyette

Outperform

maintain

$85

AI Analysis

2026-02-01

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Price Target

$85

AI Analysis

2026-02-01

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette views the 17% year-to-date pullback in shares of FIS as "perplexing." The company's risk exposure to recent regulatory "noise" is low and management's intra-quarter messaging suggests 2026 expectations "are well within reach," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Keefe sees a "nice buying opportunity" if FIS can meet estimates. It keeps an Outperform rating on the shares with an $85 price target.

Cantor Fitzgerald

NULL -> Overweight

initiated

$72

2026-01-26

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald

Price Target

$72

2026-01-26

initiated

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage of FIS with an Overweight rating and $72 price target.

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FIS Should I Buy

FIS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Fidelity National Information Services Inc (FIS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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