Buy now: Trend is clearly bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, expanding positive MACD) and fundamentals just printed strong growth, which supports upside continuation even if near-term is a bit extended.
Positioning/sentiment is supportive: Options open-interest put/call ratio is bullish (0.71) and Congress activity shows only buys in the last 90 days.
Main near-term risk: Price is pushing into resistance (near R1 ~260.9 / R2 ~264.6) with RSI(6) ~75 (stretched). Still, for an impatient buyer, momentum + fundamentals justify entering now.
Wall Street pros: Consistent execution, diversified end markets, margin strength, and AI/data-center capex exposure.
Wall Street cons: Rate/housing-driven demand risk, tariff/policy uncertainty, and mixed non-residential trends.
Wall Street analysts forecast FERG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FERG is 261.34 USD with a low forecast of 220 USD and a high forecast of 291.99 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
17 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FERG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FERG is 261.34 USD with a low forecast of 220 USD and a high forecast of 291.99 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 254.750
Low
220
Averages
261.34
High
291.99
Current: 254.750
Low
220
Averages
261.34
High
291.99
RBC Capital
Mike Dahl
Outperform
maintain
$243 -> $247
AI Analysis
2026-01-09
Reason
RBC Capital
Mike Dahl
Price Target
$243 -> $247
AI Analysis
2026-01-09
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl raised the firm's price target on Ferguson to $247 from $243 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Goldman remains cautious into early 2026, with housing affordability still challenging and R&R potentially inflecting later in the year, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Nonresidential markets are mixed, key risks include policy changes, rates, and tariffs, and the sector is expected to remain volatile, with homebuilders the most cautious, distribution favored, and building products OEMs offering relatively attractive valuations.
RBC Capital
Outperform
maintain
$243 -> $247
2026-01-09
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$243 -> $247
2026-01-09
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital raised the firm's price target on Ferguson to $247 from $243 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. RBC Capital remains cautious into early 2026, with housing affordability still challenging and R&R potentially inflecting later in the year, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Nonresidential markets are mixed, key risks include policy changes, rates, and tariffs, and the sector is expected to remain volatile, with homebuilders the most cautious, distribution favored, and building products OEMs offering relatively attractive valuations.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for FERG