Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: the trend is strong but the stock is extremely overbought (RSI-6 ~93) and sitting near resistance, which makes near-term pullback risk high.
If you must act immediately, this is better as a hold/avoid chasing than a fresh buy at ~362.
Momentum: MACD histogram +4.325 and expanding → buyers still in control.
Overbought condition: RSI_6 = 93.221 → historically stretched; odds favor consolidation/pullback rather than immediate clean upside.
Levels: Pivot 330; Resistance R1 354.7 already cleared; next resistance R2 ~369.9 (price ~362.5 is between R1 and R2). Support to watch: ~355 then 330.
Pattern-based projection (similar candlesticks): modest upside next day/week but slightly negative 1-month bias (-1.39%), consistent with “overbought cool-off” risk.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: OI put/call 1.37 suggests heavier put open interest (hedging/caution under the surface), while volume put/call 0.74 shows more call volume today (near-term bullish trading).
Activity: Today’s options volume 9,191 is ~113.6% of 30-day average → elevated attention.
Volatility: 30D IV 34.26 vs HV 26.5 (IV > HV) and IV percentile ~53 → options priced for meaningful movement (event/catalyst sensitivity).
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
Analyst-driven catalyst window: multiple upgrades and large price target hikes; investor day / multiyear targets and Network 2.0 efficiency updates are in focus.
Trend: Ratings and targets have turned sharply more bullish in early Feb 2026.
Major positives: UBS reiterated Buy and lifted PT to $412 (from $314); Wells Fargo upgraded to Overweight with PT $380; Bernstein upgraded to Outperform with PT $427; Baird also upgraded with PT $427; BofA upgraded to Buy with PT $365.
Key dissent: Morgan Stanley remains Underweight (PT $210); Redburn downgraded to Neutral (PTs cited $271/$317) on valuation/spinoff already priced.
Wall Street “cons” view: valuation now richer after the rally and execution risk remains around costs/spin dynamics; some see upside as more limited near-term.
Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FDX is 315.05 USD with a low forecast of 210 USD and a high forecast of 365 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FDX is 315.05 USD with a low forecast of 210 USD and a high forecast of 365 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 363.960
Low
210
Averages
315.05
High
365
Current: 363.960
Low
210
Averages
315.05
High
365
Citi
Buy
upgrade
$327 -> $401
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$327 -> $401
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
upgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on FedEx to $401 from $327 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
BofA
Buy
maintain
$365 -> $408
2026-02-05
New
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$365 -> $408
2026-02-05
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on FedEx to $408 from $365 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm, which points to a higher multiple for its raised target, says earnings should climb from low-single digit gains the past two years to double-digits in FY27, adding that FedEx remains one of its top Transport picks in 2026.
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