Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is below the key pivot (1.658), the near-term pattern bias is slightly negative (next-day and next-month odds), and fundamentals are still deteriorating.
Best setup would require confirmation (reclaiming the pivot and holding above it, then pushing toward 1.784), which is not present now.
Trend/structure: Mixed-to-slightly bearish near term with price (~1.61) sitting below Pivot 1.658; this typically acts as overhead resistance until reclaimed.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.000877) but positively contracting → upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI (6): 49.18 (neutral) → no strong oversold/overbought edge right now.
Moving averages: Converging MAs → consolidation/indecision, not a clean trend.
Pattern-based forward read: 70% chance of ~-1.49% next day; +1.09% next week; ~-3.22% next month → slight negative skew overall.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (open interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.21 (call-heavy) → bullish tilt in positioning.
Activity: options volume is effectively 0 today → sentiment read is based on positioning, not fresh flow.
Volatility: IV 30d ~107% vs historical vol ~42.6% (IV elevated); IV percentile ~70.5 → market pricing in large moves (notably around events), which often coincides with earnings.
Open interest: today’s OI 2507, above 30-day average (today vs avg ~114%) → some standing interest, but liquidity still appears thin intraday.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-05 after hours (a decisive event that can re-rate the stock quickly if results/guide surprise).
Analyst stance: Roth keeps a Buy despite lowering PT, implying belief in operational streamlining/turnaround potential.
Options positioning is call-heavy (OI skew), suggesting some participants are positioned for upside.
Net income: -4.03M, down -19.53% YoY (loss widened).
EPS: -0.19, down -20.83% YoY.
Gross margin: 39.75, down -9.39% YoY → profitability pressure is increasing, not stabilizing.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent change: Roth Capital lowered price target to $3 from $3.50 (2025-11-26 and reiterated 2025-11-28) while maintaining a Buy.
Wall Street pro view (bull case): ongoing streamlining/efficiency efforts to maximize profitability; potential turnaround if execution improves.
Wall Street con view (bear case): near-term headwinds (restaurant traffic softness, higher coffee prices) likely dent growth and margins; recent quarter trends show deterioration rather than inflection.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders both show neutral recent activity (no strong “smart money” confirmation).
Wall Street analysts forecast FARM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FARM is 2.25 USD with a low forecast of 1.5 USD and a high forecast of 3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FARM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FARM is 2.25 USD with a low forecast of 1.5 USD and a high forecast of 3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.610
Low
1.5
Averages
2.25
High
3
Current: 1.610
Low
1.5
Averages
2.25
High
3
Roth Capital
Buy
downgrade
$3
AI Analysis
2025-11-28
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$3
AI Analysis
2025-11-28
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital lowered the firm's price target on Farmer Bros. to $3 from $3.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company continues to streamline operations to maximize profitability and implement metrics to drive growth, but the headwinds from reduced restaurant traffic and higher coffee prices likely dent growth and margins in the near term, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Roth Capital
Buy
downgrade
$3
2025-11-26
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$3
2025-11-26
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital lowered the firm's price target on Farmer Bros. to $3 from $3.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the fiscal Q1 report. The company is streamlining operations to maximize profitability but faces near-term headwinds from reduced restaurant traffic and higher coffee prices, the analyst tells investors in a research note. It sees these near term dynamics impacting Farmer Bros.' results in the near term.
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