Should I Buy EPR? EPR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy EPR Properties (EPR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

56.250

1 Day change

-0.25%

52 Week Range

61.240

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price ($56.13) is already above R1 (55.91) and close to R2 (57.22) with RSI elevated, so near-term upside looks limited versus pullback risk.
Bullish tilt, but entry is late: momentum (MACD) and options positioning are bullish, yet the chart is stretched and lacks a fresh proprietary entry signal.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.122) and expanding → bullish momentum still in place.
Overbought risk: RSI_6 = 72.45 → stretched/overbought conditions (despite the note calling it “neutral,” 70+ typically signals extension).
Moving averages: converging MAs → trend is stabilizing, but not a strong “clean breakout” setup.
Key levels:
- Pivot: 53.79 (core support area)
- Resistance: R1 55.91 (now slightly reclaimed), R2 57.22 (next ceiling)
- Supports: S1 51.68, S2 50.37
Pattern-based probabilities: model suggests +1.16% next day, -0.65% next week, +3.69% next month → choppy near-term, better odds over a month than over a week.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Very low put/call ratios (OI and volume) → call-heavy, bullish sentiment.
Volatility: IV 30D ~23.48 vs HV ~23.51 (roughly in-line). IV percentile 72.91 → options are relatively “rich” versus their own recent history.
Activity: today’s options volume 123 is below the 30-day average (65.43% of average) → bullish skew exists, but participation isn’t elevated.
Open interest: Calls OI 3,235 vs puts OI 1,015 → structurally more call interest supporting bullish bias.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Strong Q3 2025 profit growth: Net income and EPS up ~49% YoY, supporting confidence in operations/cash flow.
- Bullish options skew: put/call ratios (0.31 OI; 0.1 volume) suggest traders are positioned more for upside than downside.
- Upcoming event: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-25 (after hours) could be a catalyst if guidance/portfolio investment volume surprises positively.
- Institutional/insider backdrop: hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no selling pressure signal from these cohorts).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Entry timing is unfavorable for an impatient buyer: RSI is elevated and price is pressing into resistance (near 57.22), increasing the odds of a near-term fade.
- Analyst targets cluster near current price: with targets around ~$54–$58, upside appears modest from $56.13 unless fundamentals re-rate.
- No news tailwind: no recent news catalysts in the past week to drive an immediate breakout.
- Higher IV percentile: options are relatively expensive (IV percentile ~72.9), which can reflect uncertainty and can make directional chasing less attractive.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3
- Revenue: $182.3M, +1.0% YoY (slow top-line growth)
- Net Income: $60.6M, +49.1% YoY (strong bottom-line improvement)
- EPS: $0.79, +49.1% YoY
- Gross Margin: 68.8%, up 0.88% YoY
Takeaway: profitability improved sharply even with modest revenue growth, supportive for a REIT, but not necessarily enough to justify chasing near resistance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: mixed-to-cautious.
- JPMorgan (2025-12-02): Overweight maintained, but PT cut to $58 from $65 (lower estimates; deal volume and no Catskills land sale).
- Wells Fargo (2025-11-25): Equal Weight maintained, PT cut to $54 from $56 (macro/labor concerns broadly for REITs).
- Truist (2025-11-18): Hold maintained, PT raised to $57 from $55 (lower box office expectations but higher investment volume next year).
Wall Street pros: improving profitability; potential for higher investment volume next year; at least one major firm remains Overweight.
Wall Street cons: price targets revised down by multiple firms; some fundamental assumptions softened (deal volume/asset sale/percentage rents; box office expectations).

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast EPR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EPR is 57.29 USD with a low forecast of 54 USD and a high forecast of 62.75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 56.390

Low

Averages

57.29

High

62.75

Current: 56.390

Low

Averages

57.29

High

62.75

JPMorgan

Overweight

downgrade

$65 -> $58

AI Analysis

2025-12-02

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$65 -> $58

AI Analysis

2025-12-02

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on EPR Properties to $58 from $65 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm reduced 2026 and 2027 estimates for EPR to reflect deal volume, no Catskills land sale, and lower percentage rents.

Wells Fargo

Equal Weight

downgrade

$56 -> $54

2025-11-25

Reason

Wells Fargo

Price Target

$56 -> $54

2025-11-25

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Wells Fargo lowered the firm's price target on EPR Properties to $54 from $56 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm says that despite a few high-profile exceptions, most REITs delivered Q3 2025 earnings and outlooks reflecting healthy operating conditions despite macro and labor market concerns.

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EPR Should I Buy

EPR Should I Buy

Should You Buy EPR Properties (EPR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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