Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Strong downtrend and worsening momentum (bearish moving averages + MACD expanding negative) increases probability that “oversold” becomes “more oversold.”
- No news in the past week: absence of fresh catalysts makes a durable reversal less likely in the near term.
- Extremely high implied volatility with near-zero options volume/liquidity suggests unstable pricing and limited ability to read sentiment.
- Price is below/near S1 (1.204); a clean break can open room toward S2 (1.084).