Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Pre-earnings uncertainty: Buying immediately before earnings increases the chance of an adverse gap (you’re entering during a catalyst window).
- Technical posture is not a clear “buy” setup: MACD remains below zero; price is stuck around pivot with nearby support risk.
- Margin pressure: Gross margin down YoY (-6.17%), which can weigh on multiple if it persists.
- Sector overhangs: Labor market disruption and regulatory pressures (noted by Truist) can cap upside and add headline risk.
- Short-to-mid statistical bias: pattern study points to a negative 1-month tendency (-5.04%).
