Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- No news in the recent week and limited near-term catalysts (also highlighted by UBS) reduces the probability of an immediate upside re-rate.
- Mixed competitive read-through: UBS notes results improved but still viewed as below some competitors (e.g., CG Oncology / J&J programs), pressuring near-term sentiment.
- Current technical momentum is weakening (negative MACD expansion) and price is below the pivot, increasing odds of a retest of support (~9.24 / 8.44).
- Trading trends: hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no notable recent accumulation signals.