BUY now: the stock is in a pullback (-4.66%) within a broader bullish trend (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), offering a reasonable “buy-the-dip” entry for an impatient buyer.
Near-term upside setup: price is just below the pivot (717.99); a mean-reversion move back toward 718–741 is plausible if support holds.
Options positioning is moderately bullish (low OI put/call), and the pattern-based forward view implies modest gains over 1 week to 1 month.
No evidence of heavy insider/hedge fund selling pressure, and no negative news flow in the past week.
Tactical read: as long as 695–681 holds, the setup favors a bounce back toward 718 first, then 741.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Open Interest Put/Call = 0.53 (more calls than puts outstanding) → moderately bullish positioning.
Flow: Option Volume Put/Call = 0.93 → close to balanced, slightly put-leaning on the day (not strongly bearish).
Volatility: 30D IV 41.95 vs historical vol 28.18 → options are pricing elevated movement; IV percentile 68.53 suggests IV is relatively high versus its typical range.
Activity: today volume 323 vs 30D avg ~95 (about 3.4x typical) → increased attention around this dip and/or ahead of earnings (2026-02-25 pre-market).
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
12
Positive Catalysts
Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-25 (pre-market); expectations could drive a pre-earnings rebound if investors position early.
Analyst support: Stifel reiterated Buy and raised PT to 754, citing improving activity and potential outperformance versus consensus.
Pattern-based outlook: similar-pattern analysis implies ~0.93% expected gain over 1 week and ~4.56% over 1 month.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
with contracting MACD histogram → dip may persist until support is proven.
Net income: $295.4M, +9.29% YoY (profit growth, but slower than revenue).
EPS: $6.57, +13.28% YoY (solid earnings growth).
Gross margin: 19.42%, -2.26% YoY (key drawback: profitability per dollar of revenue compressed).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst action (2026-01-26): Stifel (Brian Brophy) maintained a Buy and raised price target to $754 from $713.
Trend read: the latest change is a positive revision (PT up), implying improving Street confidence into the next earnings cycle.
Wall Street pro view: strong demand/activity backdrop for electrical/mechanical contracting and potential for results to beat consensus.
Wall Street con view: margin compression is the main fundamental “watch item,” and could limit multiple expansion if it persists.
Influential/political trading check: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity (no notable accumulation/distribution signals).
Wall Street analysts forecast EME stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EME is 713 USD with a low forecast of 713 USD and a high forecast of 713 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EME stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EME is 713 USD with a low forecast of 713 USD and a high forecast of 713 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 717.680
Low
713
Averages
713
High
713
Current: 717.680
Low
713
Averages
713
High
713
Stifel
Brian Brophy
Buy
maintain
$713 -> $754
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
Reason
Stifel
Brian Brophy
Price Target
$713 -> $754
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
maintain
Buy
Reason
Stifel analyst Brian Brophy raised the firm's price target on Emcor to $754 from $713 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm sees opportunity for its electrical and mechanical contractor coverage to outperform consensus expectations in Q4, noting that its survey work found that overall activity improved sequentially and was ahead of expectations, the analyst tells investors.
Baird
Justin Hauke
maintain
$703 -> $713
2025-10-31
Reason
Baird
Justin Hauke
Price Target
$703 -> $713
2025-10-31
maintain
Reason
Baird analyst Justin Hauke raised the firm's price target on Emcor to $713 from $703 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following results which led to a selloff that is too myopic.
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