Should I Buy EG? EG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Everest Group Ltd (EG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

328.390

1 Day change

0.77%

52 Week Range

370.210

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: price is pressing into near-term resistance while short-term momentum is stretched, and earnings after-hours creates a binary setup.
Upside exists (insider buying + modest Street upside to $359), but the risk/reward at this exact moment is not attractive enough to call a clean “buy now.”
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Politician/influential trading check: no recent congress trading data available (no confirmed politician activity in the provided dataset).

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: Bullish momentum is active (MACD histogram +1.157 and expanding), suggesting the current upswing still has power.
Overextension: RSI(6) ~74.75 signals short-term heat/overbought conditions, which often reduces immediate upside follow-through.
Moving averages: converging MAs indicates a transition zone (price can break out, but also prone to chop/reversions).
Key levels: Pivot 328.86 (important near-term support). Price 336.50 is essentially at R1 336.66 (immediate resistance); next resistance R2 341.48. Supports: 321.06, then 316.24.
Stat-based forward view (pattern analogs): next day -0.72% (bearish), next week +0.22% (flat), next month +2.14% (modestly bullish).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning vs flow is mixed: OI put/call 0.41 = more calls open than puts (structurally bullish), but today’s put/call volume 3.09 = heavy put trading today (near-term hedging/bearish tone into earnings).
Volatility: IV 30d ~30.76 vs historical vol ~19.55 and IV percentile ~93 implies options are pricing a large move (event premium elevated).
Activity: today volume 90 and ~200% of 30-day average; total OI 3142. This supports the idea of event-driven positioning (earnings) rather than normal trading.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings catalyst (after market close 2026-02-04): consensus EPS expected ~$13.83 (+175% YoY) (strong profitability expectation).
- Estimates trend: last 3 months EPS revisions 7 up vs 4 down (net positive tone).
- Trading trends: Insiders are buying (reported buying amount up ~1216% over the last month), often supportive for medium-term sentiment.
- MACD strength: momentum indicator currently supports continuation if price can clear resistance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Immediate event risk: earnings after-hours makes “buy now” timing highly binary (gap risk).
- Revenue headwind: expected revenue $3.89B (-16.2% YoY), suggesting top-line pressure even if EPS rebounds.
- Options flow caution: put volume dominates today (put/call volume 3.09), consistent with hedging or bearish speculation into the print.
- Technical placement: price is sitting at R1 resistance (~336.66) with short-term RSI stretched, limiting clean upside entry for an impatient buyer.
- Sector/Street concern (from coverage): potential P&C market softening, plateauing yields, reserve concerns (macro/industry overhang).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3
- Revenue: $4.319B (+0.91% YoY) (low growth)
- Net income: $252M (-49.90% YoY) (sharp decline)
- EPS: 6.09 (-48.43% YoY) (material compression)
Setup into Q4: market is expecting a major EPS rebound, but the prior-quarter profitability trend was negative, so the quality/durability of the rebound is the key swing factor.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst action: Mizuho initiated (2025-12-15) at Neutral with $359 PT.
Price target context: $359 vs $336.50 implies **6–7% upside**, not a high-conviction upside call.
Wall Street pros: insider buying signal; earnings EPS expected to surge; company has beaten estimates ~63% of the time over the past 2 years.
Wall Street cons: neutral stance reflects concerns around P&C softening, investment yield plateauing, and reserve risk; revenue expected to decline YoY.

12 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast EG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EG is 368.07 USD with a low forecast of 252.67 USD and a high forecast of 491 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

8 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 325.890

Low

252.67

Averages

368.07

High

491

Current: 325.890

Low

252.67

Averages

368.07

High

491

Mizuho

Neutral

initiated

$359

AI Analysis

2025-12-15

Reason

Mizuho

Price Target

$359

AI Analysis

2025-12-15

initiated

Neutral

Reason

Mizuho initiated coverage of Everest Group with a Neutral rating and $359 price target. The firm rolled out coverage of 23 companies, including six life insurers, 11 property and casualty insurers and six insurance brokers. It prefers life insurance, saying the group is undervalued despite credit concerns. Mizuho is less constructive on the property and casualty insurers and brokers citing market softening, plateauing investment yields and reserve concerns. The analyst expects insurance broker organic growth to moderate and is concerned that this may drive more aggressive acquisitions.

Barclays

Overweight -> NULL

downgrade

$425 -> $365

2025-10-31

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$425 -> $365

2025-10-31

downgrade

Overweight -> NULL

Reason

Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Everest Group to $365 from $425 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model following the earnings report.

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EG Should I Buy

EG Should I Buy

Should You Buy Everest Group Ltd (EG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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