Should I Buy EBF? EBF 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Ennis Inc (EBF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

20.410

1 Day change

-0.20%

52 Week Range

22.000

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: price is extended/overbought after a strong move, and near-term pattern stats skew negative.
Trend is bullish, but the risk/reward at ~$20.30 is unfavorable versus likely pullback levels (first key support ~19.57).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 (uptrend intact).
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.0616 and expanding → bullish momentum still building.
Overbought: RSI_6 = 80.64 → short-term overheating; higher probability of a pause/pullback than a clean continuation.
Levels: Pivot 19.574 (important support). Immediate resistance zone: R1 20.135 already cleared; next resistance R2 20.482.
Pattern-based forward odds: 60% probability of -1.69% next day and -6.66% next month → argues against chasing at current levels.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put/call OI ratio 0.08 (calls dominate) and put volume 0 → strongly bullish options skew.
Activity: Today’s option volume 54 vs 30-day average (indicator shows ~900%) → unusual interest, but concentrated on calls.
Volatility: 30D IV 56.64 vs historical vol 17.97 → options imply elevated move expectations; IV percentile 64.94 (not cheap).
IV trend: IV 30D is below 5D/10D IV averages (72.56/75.17) → volatility has been cooling recently despite being high overall.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Technical uptrend (bullish moving average stack + positive MACD) supports higher prices over the medium term.
- Options sentiment is aggressively bullish (call-heavy OI and volume).
- Financial quality improving: better margins and EPS growth in the latest quarter (2026/Q3).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No news catalysts in the last week → limited event-driven fuel to justify chasing a near-term overbought breakout.
- Overbought RSI (80.6) increases odds of a pullback/mean reversion.
- Statistical forward look from similar patterns suggests downside bias over the next month.
- Implied volatility is elevated relative to realized volatility, often seen near short-term peaks or uncertainty spikes.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q3
Revenue $100.167M, +0.40% YoY (slow top-line growth).
Net income $10.827M, +6.11% YoY (profit growth outpacing revenue).
EPS $0.42, +7.69% YoY.
Gross margin 31.9%, +8.80% YoY (notable improvement; supports earnings resilience).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent trend in upgrades/downgrades and target revisions cannot be confirmed.
Wall Street pros/cons view based on available data only: Pros = improving margins/EPS and an established uptrend; Cons = slow revenue growth and current price appears stretched/overbought, making near-term entry less attractive.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast EBF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EBF is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy