Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price momentum is still bearish (MACD worsening) and there is no Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal to override the tape.
The stock is near support (S1 ~84.36) and short-term RSI is very depressed, so a bounce is possible, but it’s not a high-confidence “buy now” setup.
Options are pricing a major move (IV near max percentile) into earnings on 2026-02-12, making direction less clear today; better to wait for confirmation, so the correct action is HOLD, not BUY.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Bearish. MACD histogram -0.883 and negatively expanding indicates downside momentum is strengthening.
RSI: RSI_6 23.836 (deeply weak/oversold conditions). This can precede a bounce, but on its own doesn’t reverse a downtrend.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest compression/indecision, often preceding a larger move (not necessarily up).
Key levels: Price (~85.6 pre-market) is below Pivot 90.507 (bearish regime) and sitting just above S1 84.361; a clean break below S1 opens room toward S2 80.563. Upside resistance is Pivot 90.507, then R1 96.653.
Pattern-based odds (provided): Model implies mild positive drift over 1W/1M (7% / 11.82%), but near-term is basically flat (+0.08% next day) and conflicts with current bearish MACD.
Volatility: IV_30d 49.83 vs historical vol 35.1 with IV percentile 98.8 / IV rank 94.53 → options are extremely expensive and the market is bracing for a big move.
Activity: Today’s option volume 20,930 is 157.64% of the 30D average → elevated event-driven trading.
Interpretation: The options market expects a sharp move (likely tied to upcoming earnings). Directional sentiment is modestly bullish, but the premium levels signal uncertainty/risk around the event.
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
Oversold/near support: RSI_6 ~23.8 and price near S1 (84.36) can attract dip buyers and trigger a technical bounce.
Earnings catalyst ahead:QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-12 (after hours) can reset sentiment if results/guide beat expectations.
Business growth: Latest provided quarter shows revenue +9.47% YoY and EPS +5.47% YoY (2025/Q3), supportive if sustained.
Options skew: Call-favoring put/call ratios suggest traders are positioning more for upside than downside into the event.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
implies the market expects turbulence around earnings; the move could be down as easily as up.
Trend: No series of upgrades/downgrades shown; the visible change is a single Neutral initiation, implying a cautious/balanced Street stance.
Wall Street pros view (from available data):
Pros: Revenue and EPS growth in the latest reported quarter; potential upside catalyst from upcoming earnings.
Cons: Not enough conviction to rate Buy (Neutral), and current tape is weak; profitability/margins are not clearly accelerating.
Wall Street analysts forecast EBAY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EBAY is 96.15 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 115 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
23 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EBAY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EBAY is 96.15 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 115 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
14 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 86.520
Low
60
Averages
96.15
High
115
Current: 86.520
Low
60
Averages
96.15
High
115
BNP Paribas Exane
Neutral
initiated
AI Analysis
2025-11-24
Reason
BNP Paribas Exane
Price Target
AI Analysis
2025-11-24
initiated
Neutral
Reason
BNP Paribas Exane initiated coverage of eBay with a Neutral rating.
Truist
Hold
maintain
$86 -> $92
2025-11-03
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$86 -> $92
2025-11-03
maintain
Hold
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on eBay to $92 from $86 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company's better Q3 results and Q4 guidance reflect the management's solid execution to-date against growth initiatives aimed at re-acceleration of GMV growth while protecting free cash flows and returning capital to shareholders, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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