Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: near-term tape is weak (bearish momentum + pattern stats point to downside over the next week) and there are multiple binary catalysts (deal process + earnings) that can move the stock abruptly.
Merger news provides potential upside/“floor,” but the HSR refile + upcoming shareholder vote adds timing/approval uncertainty—without clear spread/consideration data here, the risk/reward isn’t compelling enough to chase today.
Positioning signals are not supportive of an immediate “must-buy”: hedge funds neutral, insiders neutral, and Intellectia signals are absent.
Price: 4.415, sitting just below pivot (4.436) and near first support S1 (4.409). This is a fragile area—losing 4.409 opens room toward S2 (4.393).
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0332 (below zero) and still negative → bearish momentum persists (even if the contraction hints selling pressure may be easing).
RSI(6): 33.06 → leaning oversold/weak; not a clean reversal signal yet.
Moving averages: converging → consolidation after weakness; needs a break back above 4.436–4.463 to improve near-term trend.
Pattern-based forward drift (similar candlesticks): ~70% chance of -0.99% next day, -2.62% next week, +4.94% next month → near-term bias down, medium-term rebound possible.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Open interest is extremely call-heavy (put/call OI = 0.05), which can reflect bullish positioning, but today’s options volume is 0 → sentiment signal is weak/illiquid rather than strongly “active bullish.”
Implied vol (30d) 39.33 with very low IV percentile/rank (7.6) → options are priced relatively cheaply versus the stock’s own recent history, suggesting the options market is not pricing elevated near-term fear.
Today’s open interest (7,576) is ~97.5% vs the 30-day avg reference → OI is present, but without volume it looks more like existing positioning than new conviction today.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
Event-driven upside: planned $500M merger with Bending Spoons; shareholder vote scheduled Feb 27 (approval catalyst).
If regulatory process clears and closing stays on track for 1H 2026, deal progress headlines can support the stock.
Low IV percentile: if you were bullish, the market is offering relatively cheap optionality (though liquidity looks limited today).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
on 2026-02-25 after hours → potential volatility catalyst.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 71.743M, down -7.79% YoY → top-line contraction.
Net income: 6.369M, down -269.03% YoY → sharp deterioration in profitability versus prior year.
EPS: 0.06, down -250% YoY → earnings power weakened materially.
No analyst rating/price-target change data was provided here, so a trend summary can’t be confirmed from this dataset.
Wall Street-style pros (based on available info): a defined corporate action (merger) can cap downside if it proceeds and terms are favorable.
Cons: recent quarter showed declining revenue and sharply weaker profitability; combined with regulatory refiling and upcoming earnings, fundamentals + event timing risk remain elevated.
Wall Street analysts forecast EB stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EB is 2.85 USD with a low forecast of 2.7 USD and a high forecast of 3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EB stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EB is 2.85 USD with a low forecast of 2.7 USD and a high forecast of 3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.410
Low
2.7
Averages
2.85
High
3
Current: 4.410
Low
2.7
Averages
2.85
High
3
Morgan Stanley
Cameron Mansson-Perrone
Equal Weight
downgrade
AI Analysis
2025-08-10
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Cameron Mansson-Perrone
Price Target
AI Analysis
2025-08-10
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Cameron Mansson-Perrone lowered the firm's price target on Eventbrite to $2.70 from $3.40 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm says the company's revenue growth in Q2 declined 14% year-over-year, consistent with Q1 despite improving paid creator trends.
B. Riley
Naved Khan
Neutral
downgrade
$3
2025-05-12
Reason
B. Riley
Naved Khan
Price Target
$3
2025-05-12
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
B. Riley analyst Naved Khan lowered the firm's price target on Eventbrite to $3 from $3.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company's Q1 results came in slightly ahead of "muted" Street expectations, and trends in paid ticket growth suggest Eventbrite's turnaround efforts are seeing some success, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for EB
