Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: price is pushing into nearby resistance with momentum/odds not favoring immediate follow-through.
No Intellectia “strong buy” trigger today (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax), so there’s no high-conviction timing edge.
Wall Street is incrementally more constructive (one Buy upgrade and higher targets), but fundamentals and near-term price setup look mixed heading into earnings.
Technical Analysis
Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is slightly negative (-0.00424) but contracting, suggesting bearish momentum is fading—not a clean upside breakout signal yet.
RSI (6): 69.36, near overbought territory; supports the idea that upside may be limited in the immediate term.
Moving averages: converging → consolidation/indecision rather than a strong trend.
Key levels: Pivot 9.389 (price 9.525 is slightly above), near-term resistance at R1 9.698 then R2 9.89; supports at S1 9.08 and S2 8.888.
Pattern/odds model: similar-pattern stats imply ~60% chance of a small dip next day (-0.23%) and next week (-0.18%), with a more favorable next-month skew.
Positioning: Put/Call OI ratio at 0.36 is bullish-leaning (more call OI than puts), but this is not confirmed by trading flow.
Activity: today’s option volume is 0 (no real-time sentiment from trades).
Volatility: 30D IV ~61.57 vs historical vol ~24.34 → options are pricing elevated uncertainty (often consistent with event risk like upcoming earnings).
IV percentile ~54.98: mid-range relative to its own history (not extremely stretched).
Technical Summary
Sell
0
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
Analyst sentiment improving: Truist upgraded to Buy with $11 PT on expectations of stronger 2026 RevPAR growth and potential multiple expansion.
Incremental PT raises across the street (Citi, Stifel, Evercore, Morgan Stanley) suggest downside perceived as more contained than before.
Industry/event tailwinds cited by analysts: 2026 group pace strength at certain assets and potential World Cup-related demand exposure.
Upcoming earnings (QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-26 after hours) can serve as a catalyst if RevPAR and forward commentary surprise positively.
Wall Street cons: still largely Neutral/Equal Weight cluster; expectations for fundamentally “muted” lodging conditions persist, making it more of a trading stock than a clear long-term compounder.
Wall Street analysts forecast DRH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DRH is 9.97 USD with a low forecast of 8.5 USD and a high forecast of 11 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DRH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DRH is 9.97 USD with a low forecast of 8.5 USD and a high forecast of 11 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.430
Low
8.5
Averages
9.97
High
11
Current: 9.430
Low
8.5
Averages
9.97
High
11
Evercore ISI
Duane Pfennigwerth
In Line
maintain
$10
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
Reason
Evercore ISI
Duane Pfennigwerth
Price Target
$10
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
maintain
In Line
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Duane Pfennigwerth raised the firm's price target on DiamondRock to $10.50 from $10 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares as part of a preview for the analyst's lodging REIT coverage.
Morgan Stanley
Stephen Grambling
Equal Weight
maintain
$9
2026-01-16
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Stephen Grambling
Price Target
$9
2026-01-16
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Grambling raised the firm's price target on DiamondRock to $9 from $8.50 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Gaming, lodging and leisure fundamentals were "muted" in 2025, with select areas of acceleration skewed to companies serving older, wealthier consumers, the analyst tells investors in a 2026 look ahead note on the group. For 2026, the firm expects "more of the same fundamentally," with the added wrinkle of rates boosting goods over services, the analyst added.
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