Not a good buy right now: price is trending down hard (-13.89% today) and has slipped below the key S1 support (7.196), increasing odds of further near-term downside.
Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call ratios) but the stock’s technical momentum is still bearish (negative, expanding MACD), so sentiment is fighting the tape.
Best near-term catalyst is defense-contract momentum, but earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-18 after hours adds event risk; with an impatient “buy now” approach, the setup isn’t favorable until price stabilizes back above ~7.20.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Bearish. MACD histogram -0.255 and negatively expanding signals downside momentum is strengthening.
RSI (6): 31.27, nearing oversold—could spark a bounce, but not a confirmed reversal signal on its own.
Moving averages: Converging, but price action today suggests bears still control the trend.
Key levels: Current 7.0447 is below S1 7.196 (broken support). Next support S2 6.411. Resistance/pivot overhead: Pivot 8.468, then R1 9.741.
Probabilistic pattern read: Similar-pattern stats imply mild negative drift next day/week and only modest positive expectation over a month (not a strong “buy-now” edge).
Sentiment: Strongly call-skewed (OI P/C 0.17; volume P/C 0.13), indicating traders are positioned more bullish than bearish.
Activity/flow: Options volume is elevated vs average (today vs 30D avg volume = 25.92), suggesting heightened speculation/attention.
Volatility: Very high (30D IV 118.14 vs historical vol 113.28). IV percentile 37.23 / IV rank 6.6 suggests IV is not at extreme highs relative to its own recent history, but absolute IV remains high—implying large expected moves.
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Contract win: Draganfly secured a contract to provide Flex FPV drones + training to U.S. Air Force Special Operations Command—material validation and potential follow-on opportunities in defense.
Sector tailwind: Military drone market projected to expand significantly into 2032, supporting longer-run demand narrative.
Options sentiment/positioning is notably bullish (call-heavy).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Earnings catalyst risk: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-18 (after hours) can drive large volatility given high-IV profile.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $2.156M, up 14.36% YoY (growth positive, but still small scale).
Net income: -$5.170M (still loss-making); YoY comparison shows improvement vs prior-year level, but profitability remains a key overhang.
EPS: -0.25, improved YoY.
Gross margin: 15.43%, down 2.59% YoY (margin compression is a negative trend).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating changes or price target updates were provided in the dataset, so a recent Wall Street trend read cannot be confirmed here.
Pros view (based on available info): Defense contract traction and large addressable market tailwinds.
Cons view (based on available info): Losses persist, margins are weakening, and the chart is in a bearish momentum phase.
Wall Street analysts forecast DPRO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DPRO is 14.67 USD with a low forecast of 11 USD and a high forecast of 19 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DPRO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DPRO is 14.67 USD with a low forecast of 11 USD and a high forecast of 19 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 6.480
Low
11
Averages
14.67
High
19
Current: 6.480
Low
11
Averages
14.67
High
19
Ladenburg
Glenn Mattson
Buy
initiated
$19
AI Analysis
2025-11-05
Reason
Ladenburg
Glenn Mattson
Price Target
$19
AI Analysis
2025-11-05
initiated
Buy
Reason
Ladenburg analyst Glenn Mattson initiated coverage of Draganfly with a Buy rating and $19 price target. The provider of UAV platforms for defense and commercial applications recently won a large Department of Defense contract to supply first person view drones to a brigade of the U.S. Army, notes the analyst, who thinks this win is "significant and possibly repeatable," highlighting that the company has a "robust pipeline beyond that win."
Needham
Austin Bohlig
Buy
initiated
$20
2025-10-30
Reason
Needham
Austin Bohlig
Price Target
$20
2025-10-30
initiated
Buy
Reason
Needham analyst Austin Bohlig initiated coverage of Draganfly with a Buy rating and $20 price target. The firm believes the unmanned aerial systems industry is entering a "multi-year supercycle." Draganfly is "uniquely positioned" to capture accelerating demand across North America as a pure-play drone company, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Needham sees the company's new drones benefiting from Canada's record defense investments, while simultaneously participating in the U.S. drone "supercycle" through potential high-volume defense programs.
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