Should I Buy DOLE? DOLE 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Dole PLC (DOLE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

16.230

1 Day change

-0.37%

52 Week Range

16.570

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Not a good buy right now: price is extended (RSI_6 ~88.9 overbought) after a strong run, raising near-term pullback risk.
Trend is bullish, but without Intellectia signals and with price already above R1, risk/reward for an impatient entry is unattractive.
Options positioning is bullish (low put/call), yet actual volume is tiny—sentiment signal is weak.
Next meaningful catalyst is earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-03-06 pre-market; near-term upside may be limited unless new buyers step in.
Political/congress trading: no recent data suggesting an external “follow-the-flow” tailwind.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 (uptrend intact).
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.134 and expanding → bullish momentum still building.
Overbought: RSI_6 = 88.884 → strongly overbought; historically this often precedes consolidation/pullback.
Levels: Price 16.415 is above R1 (16.333) and below R2 (16.687); upside to next resistance is relatively limited vs. downside back to Pivot 15.76.
Support/resistance map: Pivot 15.76 (first key support), then S1 15.187.
Pattern-based forward stats: next day skew slightly negative (-1.78%); next week modest positive (+2.01%); next month slightly negative (-1.14%) → near-term chop favored over clean continuation.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning tilt: Open interest put/call = 0.33 → call-heavy, generally bullish sentiment.
Flow today: Put volume is 0 and total option volume is only 11 contracts → sentiment read is low-confidence due to very light trading.
Volatility: 30D IV 44.43 vs historical vol 21.88 → options are pricing elevated uncertainty (potentially around upcoming catalysts/earnings).
IV trend: IV is above 5D/10D averages (36.63/33.36) → implied volatility has been rising recently.
Net: Options lean bullish, but the lack of volume suggests this is not a strong “smart money” confirmation today.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- 2026-02-04: Voluntary move to U.S. domestic issuer forms to enhance transparency.
- 2026-02-04: Management expects improved eligibility for U.S. stock indices and potentially broader investor interest.
- 2026-02-25: Scheduled Q4/FY 2025 results announcement/webcast (event-driven attention).
- Stock trend/technicals currently favor bulls (bullish MA stack + positive MACD).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technicals are stretched: RSI near 89 increases probability of a near-term pullback.
- Profitability pressure in latest reported quarter (net income/EPS down sharply YoY) could weigh on sentiment into earnings.
- Broader tape: S&P 500 down ~0.8% today, which can reduce risk appetite for smaller names.
- Options market activity is very thin today (volume 11), limiting confidence in the bullish put/call read.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 2.279B, +10.50% YoY (top-line growth remains healthy).
Net income: 5.105M, -64.55% YoY (meaningful margin/expense pressure).
EPS: 0.05, -66.67% YoY (earnings power weakened vs last year).
Gross margin: 6.81%, -14.34% YoY (core profitability deteriorated despite revenue growth).
Next earnings on calendar: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-03-06 (pre-market), with EPS estimate shown as 0.12.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating changes or price target revisions were provided in the data, so a recent Wall Street trend cannot be verified.
Pros (typical Street positives given the news/industry position): transparency move may expand the investor base and index eligibility; global scale in fresh produce supports revenue resilience.
Cons (typical Street negatives based on latest quarter): sharp YoY decline in net income/EPS and lower gross margin raise concerns about cost inflation, pricing power, and earnings quality.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast DOLE stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DOLE is 14 USD with a low forecast of 14 USD and a high forecast of 14 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

0 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Sell

Current: 16.290

Low

Averages

High

Current: 16.290

Low

Averages

High

Stephens

Equal Weight

maintain

$16

AI Analysis

2025-09-11

Reason