Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is in a clear downtrend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) with weakening momentum (MACD histogram negative and expanding).
The stock is sitting on/near key support (S1 ~5.51). If that breaks, downside risk increases quickly toward ~5.20 (S2).
Options flow is mixed-to-bearish near-term (very heavy put volume despite low put open interest), and implied volatility is extremely elevated—this usually signals uncertainty and downside fear into upcoming earnings.
With no Intellectia buy signals today and deteriorating recent quarter fundamentals, the higher-probability move is further weakness rather than an immediate rebound.
Open interest put/call ratio 0.1: positioning skewed to calls on open interest, which can be bullish structurally.
Option volume put/call ratio 71.43: today’s trading is overwhelmingly put-driven (bearish/hedging pressure).
Volume spike: today’s volume vs 30D average ~1078.72% → unusually event-like positioning.
Volatility: IV_30d 134.54 vs historical vol 83.77; IV percentile 83.67 → options are very expensive, reflecting elevated uncertainty (often around earnings).
Takeaway: Despite call-heavy OI, the active flow is strongly defensive/bearish and pricing implies a big move risk into the next catalyst.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
2
Positive Catalysts
and proximity to support (~5.
can produce short, sharp relief bounces.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Strong bearish technical structure: downtrend across key moving averages plus worsening MACD.
Event risk ahead: Earnings scheduled 2026-02-25 after hours; high IV and heavy put volume suggest traders are bracing for downside.
Statistical trend forecast based on similar patterns points to continued drift lower over 1 week to 1 month.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 7.63M, down -19.23% YoY → contraction, not growth.
Net income: -8.15M, down -24.20% YoY → losses widening.
EPS: -0.38, down -24.00% YoY → profitability deteriorating.
Gross margin: 54.52%, down -8.34% YoY → margin compression adds pressure on the path to profitability.
Overall: fundamentals are weakening into the next earnings event, which typically reduces confidence in “buy now” timing.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided in the dataset, so a recent trend cannot be confirmed here.
Wall Street pros (inferred from available data): potential for oversold bounce and long-term product optionality.
Wall Street cons (supported by provided data): shrinking revenue, widening losses, margin decline, and bearish price trend—these outweigh the bounce case for a buy-right-now decision.
Politicians/congress: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure transactions provided.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: No signal on given stock today. (AI Stock Picker: no signal; SwingMax: no signal recently.)
Wall Street analysts forecast DMRC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DMRC is 15 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DMRC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DMRC is 15 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 5.110
Low
10
Averages
15
High
20
Current: 5.110
Low
10
Averages
15
High
20
Needham
Buy
downgrade
$30 -> $20
AI Analysis
2025-10-31
Reason
Needham
Price Target
$30 -> $20
AI Analysis
2025-10-31
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Needham lowered the firm's price target on Digimarc to $20 from $30 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported Q3 results consistent with the firm's expectations and is now positioned to have roughly break-even non-GAAP net income in Q4 and dramatically improve their cash burn to positive free cash flow in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Digimarc continues to make progress against their three key growth drivers including Gift Cards, Product and Digital Authentication opportunities, the firm added.
