Not a good buy right now: the stock is below the key pivot (2.425) with weak near-term pattern odds (next week expected drift negative) and deteriorating fundamentals (revenue down, losses widening).
Upside exists (single analyst Outperform and $5 target), but without a catalyst/news flow and with sales declining, the setup is not strong enough for an impatient entry.
Price/levels: 2.37 is below Pivot 2.425 (mildly bearish positioning); near support S1 2.291 (a break risks S2 2.208). Upside hurdles at R1 2.558 then R2 2.641.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0274) but contracting → bullish momentum is fading, suggesting consolidation rather than a clean uptrend.
RSI (6): 58.1 (neutral-to-slightly bullish), not an oversold “snapback” setup.
Moving averages: converging MAs → range-bound/indecision; not a strong trend-following buy.
Pattern-based expectation: similar candlestick-pattern cohort implies ~-1.72% over the next week and +1.08% over the next month (choppy, not a strong immediate entry).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/sentiment: very call-heavy open interest (call OI 1114 vs put OI 109; OI put/call 0.1) → bullish skew, but this can also reflect thin-market positioning rather than strong conviction.
Activity: extremely low volume today (10 calls, 0 puts); despite volume being ~58.8% above the 30-day average, the absolute level is still tiny.
Volatility: 30D IV 65.63 vs HV 43.45 (IV > HV) → options are pricing sizable moves; IV percentile ~33.9 and IV rank ~7.3 suggest IV is not elevated versus its own history lately.
Takeaway: options skew looks bullish, but liquidity/participation is too low to treat as a high-confidence sentiment signal.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
indicates market participants are positioned more for upside than downside (though low volume limits confidence).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No fresh news/catalysts in the last week to re-rate the stock near-term.
Technical positioning is weak-to-neutral (below pivot; MACD positive but fading; range-bound MAs).
Fundamentals are trending worse on top-line and bottom-line (declining revenue with deeper losses).
No notable supporting flows: hedge funds neutral (no significant trend last quarter), insiders neutral (no significant trend last month).
No recent congress trading data available (no visible “influential buyer” confirmation).
Net income: -10.101M, deteriorated -64.61% YoY (loss widened).
EPS: -0.29, -65.88% YoY.
Gross margin: 53.84%, +3.00% YoY (a bright spot), but margin improvement has not offset the revenue decline and operating loss.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Latest update (2025-12-17): Baird (Jonathan Komp) kept Outperform but cut price target to $5 from $7 after Q3 results.
Wall Street pro view: meaningful upside potential if sales stabilize and margin gains persist (target implies large % upside from $2.37).
Wall Street con view: target cut signals reduced confidence/earnings reset; ongoing sales decline and widening losses make the turnaround risk high without a clear catalyst.
Wall Street analysts forecast DLTH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DLTH is 5 USD with a low forecast of 5 USD and a high forecast of 5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DLTH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DLTH is 5 USD with a low forecast of 5 USD and a high forecast of 5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 2.330
Low
5
Averages
5
High
5
Current: 2.330
Low
5
Averages
5
High
5
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$7 -> $5
AI Analysis
2025-12-17
Reason
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Price Target
$7 -> $5
AI Analysis
2025-12-17
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Baird analyst Jonathan Komp lowered the firm's price target on Duluth Holdings to $5 from $7 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q3 results.
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Neutral -> Outperform
upgrade
$2 -> $7
2025-09-05
Reason
Baird
Jonathan Komp
Price Target
$2 -> $7
2025-09-05
upgrade
Neutral -> Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst Jonathan Komp last night upgraded Duluth Holdings to Outperform from Neutral with a price target of $7, up from $2. The company's Q2 results were much stronger than expected due to actions to reduce promotions, raise average unit retails, and improved profitability, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the quarter "materially increases" its confidence in Duluth's transformation. The stock can revert to more normalized valuation metrics which would bring "further substantial" appreciation, contends Baird.
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