Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: short-term signals skew bearish despite strong income/distribution story.
Technical momentum is weakening (bearish MACD expansion) and pattern-based forecast implies further downside over 1D/1W/1M.
Options sentiment is extremely call-heavy (bullish), but that can also be late-cycle chasing near local highs—without a proprietary buy signal, I would not buy here.
Best stance: HOLD/avoid new entry until momentum stabilizes or price pulls back; earnings/distribution theme can be revisited after the upcoming Q4 print.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.213 and negatively expanding = downside momentum strengthening.
RSI: RSI(6) at ~20.48 indicates oversold/washed-out near-term conditions, but oversold can persist while MACD keeps deteriorating.
Moving averages: converging MAs suggest indecision/transition rather than a clean uptrend continuation.
Levels: Provided pivot/resistance (Pivot 44.73; R1 46.14; R2 47.01) sit well below current price (52.57), implying the stock already extended above prior range; risk of mean reversion is elevated.
Quant/pattern read-through: Similar-pattern projection shows ~70% odds of -1.03% (next day), -1.32% (next week), -2.02% (next month) → unfavorable timing for a fresh buy.
Activity: Total option volume 930 vs 30-day average (today vs avg ~645.83) indicates unusual attention.
Volatility: IV30 ~30.03 vs HV ~31.87 (IV slightly below realized) with IV percentile ~53.78 and low IV rank ~11.99 → options not especially expensive; sentiment is the bigger signal than pricing.
Takeaway: Options market is bullish, but combined with weakening MACD, it reads more like chasing than a high-conviction setup today.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
13
Positive Catalysts
can act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary beat expectations.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technical momentum deterioration (bearish MACD expansion) increases probability of near-term pullback.
Pattern-based outlook suggests a negative drift over the next day/week/month.
Event risk: Q4 earnings in late Feb can introduce downside if coverage/volumes/margins disappoint.
Margin pressure: Gross margin declined YoY, which can weigh on quality of earnings if it persists.
Profitability flag: Gross margin 20.39%, -8.32% YoY (growth is good, but margin trend weakened).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided in the dataset, so a true “trend” summary cannot be verified here.
Wall Street-style pro view (based on available info): consistent distribution growth and strong recent YoY earnings/revenue gains support an income/defensive thesis.
Con view: margin compression plus weakening technicals into earnings makes the current entry timing unattractive.
Influential/political flows: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are reported as neutral (no notable recent trend).
Wall Street analysts forecast DKL stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DKL is 45 USD with a low forecast of 45 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DKL stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DKL is 45 USD with a low forecast of 45 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 51.310
Low
45
Averages
45
High
45
Current: 51.310
Low
45
Averages
45
High
45
Mizuho
Neutral
maintain
$44 -> $45
AI Analysis
2025-08-29
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$44 -> $45
AI Analysis
2025-08-29
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho raised the firm's price target on Delek Logistics to $45 from $44 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted models in the master limited partnerships and midstream group post the Q2 reports.
