Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Technical damage: strong downtrend with worsening MACD; oversold alone is not a buy trigger.
- Earnings risk: pre-market earnings can gap the stock against you; no supportive proprietary signals going into the print.
- Headline/political scrutiny risk: concerns raised by lawmakers (e.g., scrutiny around crypto activities) can pressure sentiment.
- High implied volatility: market pricing large moves; upside needs to be big just to compensate for uncertainty.