Should I Buy DIS? DIS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Walt Disney Co (DIS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

108.700

1 Day change

3.55%

52 Week Range

124.690

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Good buy right now for an impatient buyer because price is near support while sentiment (options + Street) remains constructive.
Trend is still technically bearish (downtrend structure), but downside appears more defined (S1 ~104) versus upside back to pivot/resistance (109–113).
Catalysts from blockbuster content + streaming momentum improve the near-term narrative despite a soft profit/margin print in FY2026 Q1.

Technical Analysis

Current price 107.2 is below the pivot (108.744), indicating the stock is still trading in a weaker zone short-term.
Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), confirming a prevailing downtrend structure.
MACD histogram is negative (-0.82) but contracting, suggesting bearish momentum is fading (possible basing attempt).
RSI(6) at ~41.7 is neutral-to-soft (not oversold), leaving room for either a bounce or another dip.
Key levels: Support S1 104.179 (then S2 101.359). Resistance R1 113.309 (then R2 116.129). A reclaim of 108.744 would improve the near-term setup.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Put/Call open interest ratio at 0.86 and put/call volume ratio at 0.3 indicate positioning and flow skew more bullish than bearish.
Options activity is elevated: today’s volume ~55.3k and ~119.5% of the 30-day average, suggesting increased attention after recent developments/earnings.
Implied vol (26.55) is below historical vol (29.99): options aren’t pricing extreme risk; sentiment looks more “confident” than fearful.
IV percentile ~54 is mid-range (not overly stretched), so sentiment is positive without being euphoric.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Content/box office strength: Zootopia 2 reported at $1.7B (major franchise momentum) and Disney’s dominance in $1B+ films supports earnings power.
- Streaming narrative improving: reported 11% YoY rise in streaming revenue tied to content success.
- Parks uplift catalyst: Shanghai’s Zootopia Land drawing visitors, supporting parks traffic/revenue storyline.
- Pattern-based stock trend model suggests upside bias (70% chance) over 1D/1W/1M with positive expected moves.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical trend remains bearish (stacked moving averages + price below pivot), so rallies can fail into resistance (109–113).
- FY2026 Q1 profitability weakened despite revenue growth: net income, EPS, and gross margin all declined YoY.
- Analyst commentary flags near-term growth lull: expectations that growth “stalls” in Q2 and the year is back-end weighted.
- Broader market tone is risk-off (S&P 500 -0.99% on the session), which can cap near-term multiple expansion.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: FY2026 Q1.
Revenue: $25.981B, up +5.23% YoY (top-line growth remains healthy).
Net income: $2.402B, down -5.95% YoY (profitability pressure).
EPS: 1.34, down -4.29% YoY.
Gross margin: 30.78%, down -5.09% YoY (margin compression is the key negative trend in the quarter).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: price targets have been trimmed (e.g., Rosenblatt $139→$130; BofA $140→$125; Citi $145→$140), but ratings largely remain Buy/Overweight/Outperform.
Bull case (Wall Street pros): Morgan Stanley resumed Overweight ($135) citing compelling risk/reward; multiple firms highlight healthy streaming + parks trends and expectations for double-digit adjusted earnings growth beyond FY2026.
Bear case (Wall Street cons): near-term segment growth seen as soft/back-end weighted; parks demand fears periodically resurface; communication/guidance tone viewed as uninspiring; deal/headwind mentions (e.g., Fubo/ESPN-related concerns).
Influential trading check: no recent Congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show neutral/no notable recent trend.

19 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast DIS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DIS is 137.29 USD with a low forecast of 123 USD and a high forecast of 152 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

16 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 104.970

Low

123

Averages

137.29

High

152

Current: 104.970

Low

123

Averages

137.29

High

152

Rosenblatt

Barton Crockett

Buy

downgrade

$139 -> $130

AI Analysis

2026-02-03

New

Reason

Rosenblatt

Barton Crockett

Price Target

$139 -> $130

AI Analysis

2026-02-03

New

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett lowered the firm's price target on Disney to $130 from $139 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Fiscal Q1 earnings topped consensus, but commentary and the communications stance was "uninspiring," says the analyst, who notes that Disney retained guidance for double-digit EPS growth, but said "growth basically stalls across its segments" in Q2 and the year is seen as back-end weighted.

Morgan Stanley

Thomas Yeh

resume

$135

2026-02-03

New

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Thomas Yeh

Price Target

$135

2026-02-03

New

resume

Reason

Morgan Stanley analyst Thomas Yeh resumed coverage of Disney with an Overweight rating and $135 price target. The firm sees a "compelling" risk/reward at current levels given its expectations that Disney will post double-digit adjusted earnings growth in fiscal 2026 and beyond. The company's core streaming and parks trends are "healthy" and positioned for a growth acceleration in the second half of the year, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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DIS Should I Buy

DIS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Walt Disney Co (DIS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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