Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Overhead resistance: price is below/near key resistance 45.64–46.60, which can cap upside if earnings don’t impress.
- Momentum cooling: MACD remains positive but is contracting, implying the trend could need a fresh catalyst to accelerate.
- Recent profitability pressure: last reported quarter showed EPS and net income down YoY, which can re-emerge as a concern if guidance disappoints.
- Options imply a big move: IV is elevated vs realized volatility, meaning expectations are high going into the event.