Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: the chart is still in a confirmed downtrend (bearish MA stack) and the near-term statistical bias points lower (next week/month negative).
Any bounce setup is fragile: price is sitting just above key support (~0.725); a breakdown likely opens downside toward ~0.659.
Options positioning is call-heavy (bullish sentiment), but it hasn’t translated into price strength and litigation/guidance issues keep headline risk elevated.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0147 (below 0) but negatively contracting → downside momentum is easing, yet still bearish.
RSI (6): 27.185 → oversold/washed-out conditions; supports the case for short-lived bounces, not a confirmed reversal.
Key levels: Support S1 ~0.725 (immediate), S2 ~0.659 (next). Resistance pivot ~0.832, then R1 ~0.938.
Market context: S&P 500 down ~1% during regular session → risk-off tape adds pressure.
Pattern-based forward view: estimated -0.9% next week and -2.72% next month bias.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/call ratios at 0.15 (OI and volume) = strongly call-skewed positioning (bullish tilt).
Activity: Today’s option volume 3,835 vs 30-day average is low (today vs avg ~47.79%) → sentiment isn’t backed by strong current flow.
Open interest: Total OI 203,013; today vs OI avg ~115.55% → positioning is sizable.
Volatility: 30D IV ~111% vs HV ~91% (elevated); IV percentile ~21 and IV rank ~22 suggest IV is not at extremes relative to its own history (less “panic pricing” than you’d expect for the headline risk).
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
can fuel reflex rallies if support holds.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
are a material overhang and can suppress multiples and attract sellers on pops.
Cons: Large price-target cuts signal materially reduced confidence in near-term trajectory; combined with guidance cuts/management change and delays, it’s hard to justify chasing the stock “right now.”
Wall Street analysts forecast DEFT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DEFT is 3.06 USD with a low forecast of 1.8 USD and a high forecast of 5.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DEFT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DEFT is 3.06 USD with a low forecast of 1.8 USD and a high forecast of 5.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 0.695
Low
1.8
Averages
3.06
High
5.5
Current: 0.695
Low
1.8
Averages
3.06
High
5.5
Benchmark
Mark Palmer
Buy
downgrade
$8 -> $3
AI Analysis
2025-11-21
Reason
Benchmark
Mark Palmer
Price Target
$8 -> $3
AI Analysis
2025-11-21
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer lowered the firm's price target on DeFi Technologies to $3 from $8 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. DeFi's sharply reduced 2025 revenue guidance and the surprise announcement that co-founder Olivier Roussy Newton would step down as CEO and executive chairman "might, at first glance, look like the hallmarks of a broken story," but such an assessment is not supported by the fundamentals, the analyst tells investors.
Northland
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$5
2025-11-17
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$5
2025-11-17
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Northland lowered the firm's price target on DeFi Technologies to $2.50 from $5 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following the company's Q3 report. DeFi Alpha delays are driving a lowered outlook, the analyst tells investors.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for DEFT