Should I Buy DBRG? DBRG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy DigitalBridge Group Inc (DBRG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

15.430

1 Day change

52 Week Range

15.550

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Buy for deal-spread capture: DBRG at $15.345 vs SoftBank’s $16 all-cash offer implies ~+4.3% upside if the acquisition closes.
Market/Street are pricing a high close probability: analyst targets have converged to $16 and most firms explicitly assume no counterbid.
Not a momentum trade (MACD weakening), but the risk-reward is still attractive for an impatient buyer focused on a near-term catalyst (deal close) rather than waiting for an “ideal” technical entry.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/MAs: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the broader structure is still constructive.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.113 and negatively expanding = near-term momentum is fading (mild bearish pressure).
RSI: RSI_6 = 40.6 (neutral-to-soft), not oversold; room to drift lower before a technical “snapback” becomes compelling.
Key levels (tight range): Pivot 15.408; Support 15.345 / 15.306; Resistance 15.471 / 15.510. Price (15.345) is sitting right on support—good for a deal-spread entry, but weak if the deal narrative deteriorates.
Pattern-based odds (provided): ~60% chance of -1.21% next day, -5.12% next week, +5.01% next month (month horizon aligns with deal-spread logic more than short-term momentum).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put/Call OI ratio 0.12 is extremely call-heavy (bullish/deal-confidence skew).
Liquidity today is thin: total option volume 3 vs 30-day norms (today vs avg volume 0.11), so today’s flow is not very informative.
Volatility: 30D IV 43.8% vs HV 28.45% = elevated implied volatility (market still pricing some deal risk).
Open interest: Calls 125,712 vs puts 14,705 reinforces upside/closure positioning rather than crash-hedging.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- SoftBank all-cash acquisition at $16/share provides a clear near-term valuation anchor and potential catalyst upon regulatory/closing progress.
- Hedge funds are buying: reported buying up ~1370% QoQ, consistent with merger-arbitrage accumulation.
- If any improved terms emerge (even small bump), upside could exceed the current ~4% spread (though Street views this as low probability).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Limited upside vs meaningful deal-break downside: with the stock already near the offer, gains are capped while a broken deal could reprice sharply lower.
- Analyst downgrades across the board post-deal reduce incremental buy-side demand (most now effectively treat it as a deal instrument).
- Technical momentum weakening (negative and expanding MACD) increases odds of short-term drift below support while waiting for deal milestones.
- Upcoming earnings (2026-02-23, pre-market) can introduce headline risk/volatility (even if the deal remains the main driver).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $124.0M, +34.93% YoY (strong top-line growth trend).
Profitability: Net income $16.37M, -1886.90% YoY and EPS $0.09, -1000% YoY (sharp deterioration vs prior year; suggests non-recurring items, higher costs, or accounting impacts—trend is negative on earnings quality).
Overall: operational growth is solid on revenue, but earnings volatility is high—another reason the stock is trading primarily on the acquisition outcome.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Clear post-deal rating reset: multiple firms downgraded to Hold/Neutral/Sector Perform/Market Perform after the SoftBank announcement.
Price targets converged to $16 (RBC cut $23 → $16; others set/maintained $16) reflecting the cash takeout.
Wall Street pros: high likelihood of deal approval/close; cash offer creates floor/anchor.
Wall Street cons: limited expectation of a competing bid; upside capped at the spread (Wells Fargo notes valuation “felt light,” but still expects closing).

8 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast DBRG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DBRG is 16 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 16 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

6 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 15.430

Low

Averages

High

Current: 15.430

Low

Averages

High

B. Riley

Buy -> Neutral

downgrade

$16

AI Analysis

2025-12-30

Reason

B. Riley

Price Target

$16

AI Analysis

2025-12-30

downgrade

Buy -> Neutral

Reason

B. Riley downgraded DigitalBridge (DBRG) to Neutral from Buy with a $16 price target after SoftBank (SFTBY) announced the acquisition of DigitalBridge in an all-cash offer for $16 per share, representing a total enterprise value of $4B.

Truist

Anthony Hau

Buy -> Hold

downgrade

$16

2025-12-30

Reason

Truist

Anthony Hau

Price Target

$16

2025-12-30

downgrade

Buy -> Hold

Reason

Truist analyst Anthony Hau downgraded DigitalBridge (DBRG) to Hold from Buy with an unchanged price target of $16 following the announced all-cash acquisition by SoftBank Group (SFTBY) at $16 per share. The firm sees a low probability of a competing bid emerging, the analyst tells investors.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for DBRG

Unlock Now

DBRG Should I Buy

DBRG Should I Buy

Should You Buy DigitalBridge Group Inc (DBRG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch