Should I Buy D? D 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Dominion Energy Inc (D) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

62.330

1 Day change

-0.30%

52 Week Range

63.430

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now at ~~$62.50: the stock is technically extended (RSI elevated) and trading near/above key resistance with limited upside versus the most common Street price targets (~~$63–$65).
Options positioning is very bullish (call-heavy), but that can also mean the near-term upside is already crowded.
With earnings (QDEC 2025) coming on 2026-02-23 pre-market, risk/reward for an impatient entry is not attractive at current levels.
Best stance today: HOLD / avoid chasing; a better buy would be closer to support (~$60.7 pivot or below) if it pulls back.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.189 and expanding supports ongoing upside momentum.
Overbought/extension: RSI_6 at ~75 signals the move is stretched and prone to a near-term cooldown.
Levels: Price (~62.50) is above R1 (62.086) and approaching R2 (62.925). This is a sell/trim zone for short-term traders, not an ideal fresh entry.
Downside map: Pivot support ~60.728 (then S1 ~59.37). A pullback toward these levels would materially improve entry quality.
Quant pattern read: Similar-pattern projection implies mild downside drift (next month ~-2.5%), aligning with the “extended near resistance” setup.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Extremely call-skewed (OI PCR 0.39; volume PCR 0.04) = bullish positioning.
Activity: Today’s volume (658) is light vs 5D/10D averages, but open interest is large (total OI ~107,583), suggesting positioning is already built.
Volatility: IV 30D ~22.26 vs HV ~21.64 (small premium); IV percentile ~47 suggests not particularly “cheap” or “expensive.”
Takeaway: Options market leans bullish, but given price is near resistance, the setup is more “late-stage chase” than “fresh asymmetric buy.”

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Structural growth narrative: Virginia/data-center electricity demand expected to surge; Dominion positioned as a major provider to AI/data centers.
- Insider trading trend: Insiders are buying (buying amount +876.64% last month), a supportive signal.
- Earnings catalyst (2026-02-23 pre-market): A clean beat/raise could break resistance decisively if guidance supports capex/recovery trajectory.
- Dividend appeal mentioned in coverage/news flow (income support).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Crowded bullishness risk: Very call-heavy options positioning can precede short-term pullbacks if expectations are high.
- Hedge funds selling: Hedge funds are selling (selling amount +572.13% last quarter), a notable institutional headwind.
- Offshore wind overhang: Coverage highlighted offshore wind uncertainty (Trump admin halting new offshore wind development) as a potential headwind to certain assets/projects.
- Profitability pressure: Gross margin down YoY (see financials), which can cap multiple expansion.
- Near-term technical risk: Extended RSI and price near R2 resistance increases odds of mean reversion.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Growth: Revenue $4.527B (+14.87% YoY), Net Income $995M (+8.27% YoY), EPS $1.16 (+6.42% YoY) — solid top-line and earnings growth.
Margin: Gross margin 55.53% (down ~9.72% YoY) — growth is positive, but efficiency/pricing mix looks weaker.
Overall: Fundamentals are improving on revenue/EPS, but margin compression is a key watch item heading into the upcoming QDEC 2025 earnings.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Price targets have mostly drifted slightly down/flat (RBC $70→$69; Barclays $64→$63; JPM $62→$59; MS $65→$62 earlier), with one small raise (MS $62→$63).
Current Street stance: Mixed—Overweight (Barclays) balanced by multiple Holds/Equal Weight (RBC, MS, TD Cowen) and an Underweight (JPM).
Target clustering: Many targets sit around $63–$65, very close to the current ~$62.5, implying limited near-term upside in the consensus view.
Wall Street pros: Regulated utility visibility plus data-center load growth tailwind.
Wall Street cons: Execution/capex uncertainty and offshore wind-related headwinds; modest upside vs current price.

12 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast D stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for D is 64.36 USD with a low forecast of 59 USD and a high forecast of 70 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

9 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 62.520

Low

Averages

64.36

High

Current: 62.520

Low

Averages

64.36

High

RBC Capital

Stephen D'Ambrisi

Sector Perform

downgrade

$70 -> $69

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

RBC Capital

Stephen D'Ambrisi

Price Target

$70 -> $69

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

downgrade

Sector Perform

Reason

RBC Capital analyst Stephen D'Ambrisi lowered the firm's price target on Dominion to $69 from $70 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares as part of a broader research note previewing Q4 earnings in Utilities. As has been the trend across the space over the last 18 months given the rapidly changing capital deployment landscape, a number of utilities that are typically Q4 roll-forward companies gave off-cycle or early previews of updated capital plans, prompting the firm to revise its model in the sector, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Barclays

Nicholas Campanella

Overweight

downgrade

$64 -> $63

2026-01-22

Reason

Barclays

Nicholas Campanella

Price Target

$64 -> $63

2026-01-22

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

Barclays analyst Nicholas Campanella lowered the firm's price target on Dominion to $63 from $64 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the power and utilities group as part of a Q4 preview.

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D Should I Buy

D Should I Buy

Should You Buy Dominion Energy Inc (D) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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