Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price action is still bearish (MACD worsening) and options flow is defensive/bearish despite an oversold RSI.
A near-term bounce is possible because CYBR is sitting just above key support (~401.9) and RSI_6 is extremely oversold, but there’s no Intellectia buy signal to front-run the entry.
M&A backdrop (deal expected to close in 1H 2026 per JPM) and the recent earnings beat can provide support, but the tape/derivatives sentiment suggests downside risk isn’t finished.
Trend/Momentum: Bearish — MACD histogram at -4.107 and negatively expanding (downtrend pressure still building).
RSI: RSI_6 = 12.541 (extremely oversold), which often precedes reflex rallies, but oversold can persist in strong selloffs.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggests the selloff may be transitioning from trending to basing, but not confirmed.
Key levels: Current 402.98 is just above S1 401.888 (must hold). Next support S2 386.282; resistance/pivot 427.15, then 452.41.
Pattern-based short-term odds (similar candles): slight negative bias beyond 1-day (+0.49% next day vs -0.25% next week / -1.82% next month).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Open Interest put/call 0.52 = more call OI than puts (structurally not bearish).
Flow/Sentiment today: Put/Call volume ratio 5.0 with today volume elevated vs 30D avg (6.74x) = near-term bearish/hedging impulse dominating today’s tape.
Volatility: 30D IV 45.42 vs HV 27.09 (IV rich); IV percentile 81.67 indicates options are priced for larger moves (often around catalysts/uncertainty).
Net read: Longer-dated positioning isn’t panicked, but today’s trading sentiment is bearish (puts being actively bought).
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
can trigger short-covering/bounce attempts.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technical damage: MACD continues to deteriorate; until CYBR reclaims ~427 pivot, sellers remain in control.
Options sentiment: Put volume dominance (5.0x) signals traders are bracing for downside/using protection right now.
Analyst tone: Recent moves are Neutral/Hold with price target cuts/downgrades, implying limited near-term upside conviction.
Broader tape: Software equities have been under pressure early 2026 (rotation away from software per Truist commentary), which can keep rallies capped.
Net income: -$50.438M (down -553.99% YoY) — losses widened materially
EPS: -1 (down -534.78% YoY)
Gross margin: 76.61% (down -4.65% YoY) — still high but trending lower
News-linked quarter (not in the snapshot table): Q4 was reported as a beat with 18.5% YoY revenue growth, improving sentiment, but the technical/derivatives setup still isn’t confirming a clean entry.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target trend: More cautious.
(2026-01-20) Truist: Hold, price target cut to $455 from $520 (sector pressure/rotation cited).
(2025-12-17) JPMorgan: Downgrade to Neutral from Overweight, PT $474 (reinstated coverage; deal expected to close 1H 2026).
Wall Street pros view (pros): Security demand remains durable; M&A expectation can support valuation; targets still above spot.
Influential/political trading check: No congress trading data in last 90 days; hedge funds/insiders neutral with no notable recent trend.
Wall Street analysts forecast CYBR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CYBR is 495.6 USD with a low forecast of 448 USD and a high forecast of 524 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CYBR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CYBR is 495.6 USD with a low forecast of 448 USD and a high forecast of 524 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 381.720
Low
448
Averages
495.6
High
524
Current: 381.720
Low
448
Averages
495.6
High
524
Mizuho
Gregg Moskowitz
Outperform -> NULL
downgrade
$520 -> $470
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Mizuho
Gregg Moskowitz
Price Target
$520 -> $470
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
downgrade
Outperform -> NULL
Reason
Mizuho analyst Gregg Moskowitz lowered the firm's price target on CyberArk to $470 from $520 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The company reported good Q4 results, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm cites the now shorter duration until the expected deal closure for the target cut.
Truist
Hold
downgrade
$455 -> $411
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$455 -> $411
2026-02-05
New
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on CyberArk to $411 from $455 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company reported solid Q4 earnings above estimates across all key metrics, signaling continued strength in its identity platform, though the firm is cutting its price target on the decrease in Palo Alto Networks (PANW) share price as the purchase price is a function of the exchange ratio, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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