Should I Buy CWEN.A? CWEN.A 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Clearway Energy Inc (CWEN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

38.640

1 Day change

2.82%

52 Week Range

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Good buy right now: Price is in a bullish trend structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and still below most raised Street targets ($38–$40 near-term; $50 high case), implying room to run.
Sentiment supports upside: Options positioning is aggressively call-skewed (very low put/call), consistent with bullish trader expectations.
Near-term path: Most immediate upside is toward $37.36–$37.91 resistance; a clean break improves momentum, while $36.47 pivot is the key “hold-the-trend” area.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.098 (above zero) but positively contracting, suggesting upside momentum is still positive but not accelerating.
RSI: RSI_6 62.46 (neutral-to-slightly-bullish; not stretched/overbought).
Levels:
- Pivot: 36.465 (important near-term line)
- Resistance: 37.359 (R1) then 37.911 (R2)
- Support: 35.571 (S1) then 35.019 (S2)
Pattern-based forward odds (provided): +1.03% next day, ~flat next week (+0.22%), but -4.04% next month (near-term strength, weaker 1-month expectancy).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call 0.13 and volume put/call 0.10 = strongly bullish skew toward calls.
Activity: Today’s volume 34 vs 30D avg (trend indicator) ~132; however “today vs avg 30D” shows 9.77x (spike vs its baseline metric), implying a noticeable jump in activity.
Open interest: Calls OI 8051 vs puts OI 1065 (call-heavy).
Volatility: IV (30D) 38.13 vs historical vol 32.96 (options priced with a modest premium); IV percentile 55.38 (mid-range), IV rank 13.26 (relatively low vs its range).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Wall Street growth narrative strengthening: Management commentary highlighted on the Street points to 7%–8% annual cash available for distribution (CAFD) per share growth from 2025–2030.
- Sector demand tailwind: Analysts cite rising electricity demand (including AI data centers) and a renewables supply-demand imbalance as supportive for long-term contracting and asset value.
- Earnings catalyst ahead: Next earnings scheduled 2026-02-23 (QDEC 2025) after hours—potential re-rating event if results/outlook beat expectations.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Mixed operating trend: Latest reported quarter shows revenue down -11.73% YoY and gross margin down -24.27% YoY, which can cap multiple expansion if it persists.
- Quant-style pattern outlook provided: Similar-pattern analysis indicates -4.04% next month odds/expectation, suggesting risk of a pullback despite the bullish MA trend.
- No fresh news support: “No news in recent week” reduces the chance of immediate event-driven upside continuation.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter (2025/Q3):
- Revenue: $429M, -11.73% YoY (top-line contraction)
- Net income: $236M, +555.56% YoY (large jump)
- EPS: 2.00, +545.16% YoY (very strong vs prior year)
- Gross margin: 29.14%, -24.27% YoY (profitability rate pressured)
Read-through: Earnings/EPS surged while revenue and margin fell—performance looks headline-strong but mixed quality, implying gains may be driven by items beyond pure revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Clear upward bias in ratings/targets—multiple firms raised price targets and reiterated bullish stances; one upgrade adds momentum.
Notable actions:
- CIBC (2025-12-16): Upgraded to Outperformer, PT $38
- BofA (2025-12-10): Buy, PT $38 (cites strong CAFD/share visibility)
- UBS (2025-12-10): Buy, PT $39 (sees strong visibility to long-term targets)
- Roth (2025-11-24): Buy, PT $40
- Morgan Stanley (2025-12-02): Overweight, PT $50 (bull case/highest target listed)
Wall Street pros: Visible multi-year distribution/cash-flow growth narrative; demand tailwinds for renewables/power.
Wall Street cons: Underlying revenue/margin pressure in the latest quarter keeps some fundamental skepticism in play despite target hikes.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CWEN.A stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CWEN.A is 39.29 USD with a low forecast of 34 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 37.580

Low

Averages

39.29

High

Current: 37.580

Low

Averages

39.29

High

CIBC

Neutral -> Outperformer

upgrade

$38

AI Analysis

2025-12-16

Reason

CIBC

Price Target

$38

AI Analysis

2025-12-16

upgrade

Neutral -> Outperformer

Reason

CIBC upgraded Clearway Energy to Outperformer from Neutral with a $38 price target.

BofA

Buy

maintain

$37 -> $38

2025-12-10

Reason

BofA

Price Target

$37 -> $38

2025-12-10

maintain

Buy

Reason

BofA raised the firm's price target on Clearway Energy to $38 from $37 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after having hosted an investor fireside chat with CEO Craig Cornelius, who emphasized Clearway's strong visibility for 7%-8% annual cash available for distribution per share growth from 2025 through 2030. As a result, the firm increased its cash available for distribution per share estimates for 2026-2027 "slightly," the analyst tells investors.

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CWEN.A Should I Buy

CWEN.A Should I Buy

Should You Buy Clearway Energy Inc (CWEN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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