Should I Buy CVU? CVU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy CPI Aerostructures Inc (CVU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

3.710

1 Day change

3.06%

52 Week Range

5.020

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price is trading below the key pivot (4.068) and sits in a weak technical posture with bearish options positioning.
Near-term bounce is possible (RSI ~31.7 and price near support), but without Intellectia entry signals and with heavy put open interest, upside conviction is low.
Earnings on 2026-02-12 (after hours) is the next major catalyst; with no positive news flow and bearish positioning, risk/reward for an impatient buyer is not compelling today.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: price 3.73 is below Pivot 4.068, indicating the stock is trading in the lower part of its recent range.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0859 (below zero) = bearish momentum, but “negatively contracting” suggests downside pressure may be easing.
RSI: RSI(6) at 31.658 is near oversold territory, supporting a short-term mean-reversion bounce case, not a confirmed uptrend.
Moving averages: converging MAs imply consolidation/indecision rather than a clear trend reversal.
Levels: immediate support S1=3.774 is being tested/undercut; next support S2=3.592. Resistance levels: Pivot 4.068 then R1=4.362.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: very high open interest put/call ratio (4.17) suggests notably defensive/bearish positioning (or heavy hedging) versus calls.
Activity: today’s option volume is low (35 puts, 0 calls reported), so sentiment is inferred more from open interest than fresh flow.
Volatility: 30D IV ~114.51 vs historical vol ~63.8 implies options are pricing elevated uncertainty; IV is lower than the 5D/10D IV averages (volatility cooling versus very recent levels).
Net read: options skew/positioning leans bearish; not supportive of an aggressive buy “right now.”

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings event: next earnings on 2026-02-12 after hours can act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary surprise to the upside.
- Technical mean reversion: RSI near oversold plus proximity to S1/S2 support increases the odds of a short-term bounce if support holds.
- Pattern-based forecast (similar candlesticks): indicates modest positive bias over 1 week (+1.47%) and 1 month (+1.86%).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical bias still bearish: MACD remains below zero and price is below the pivot, keeping the broader setup weak.
- Options positioning is bearish/defensive: put open interest dominates (P/C OI 4.17), which often aligns with downward or uncertain price expectations.
- No supportive news flow in the past week to change sentiment.
- Earnings proximity can cap buying interest ahead of the print (market often waits for confirmation).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 19,269,102, down -0.78% YoY (slight contraction).
Profitability: Net income 1,113,692, up +48.56% YoY (strong improvement).
EPS: 0.09, up +50.00% YoY.
Gross margin: 22.35, up +2.85% YoY.
Takeaway: fundamentals show improving profitability/margins despite slightly lower revenue—constructive, but the market/positioning isn’t yet confirming with bullish price action.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, and micro-cap coverage is often limited.
Wall Street-style pros: improving EPS/net income and expanding gross margin (2025/Q3) support a quality-of-earnings improvement narrative.
Wall Street-style cons: revenue is not growing (-0.78% YoY in 2025/Q3), and the stock’s technical/derivatives sentiment currently skews bearish, which can outweigh fundamentals in the short run.
Politicians/other influential figures: no recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days; hedge fund and insider activity provided is neutral (no significant recent trend).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CVU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVU is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy