Should I Buy CTRI? CTRI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Centuri Holdings Inc (CTRI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

28.930

1 Day change

4.40%

52 Week Range

29.070

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Buy CTRI now: price has pulled back to near-term support (S1 ~27.29) while the broader trend structure remains bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), setting up a favorable risk/reward for an impatient entry.
Street setup is improving: most recent initiation is Overweight with a $34 PT (meaningful upside from ~$27.46), and the narrative (grid modernization/data-center power demand/utility capex) supports continued backlog-driven growth.
Near-term momentum is soft (MACD histogram negative and expanding), but the stock is positioned for a rebound toward the pivot/resistance zone (~28.06 to ~28.82) if support holds.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an intact intermediate/longer uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.106 (below 0 and negatively expanding) suggests near-term downside pressure persists.
RSI: RSI(6) ~48.7 = neutral; not overbought, not deeply oversold.
Key levels: Pivot 28.06; support S1 27.29 then S2 26.82; resistance R1 28.82 then R2 29.30.
Pattern-based forward bias (similar candlesticks): ~70% chance of -1.28% next day, +1.29% next week, +6.4% next month (skews constructive beyond the very near term).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Extremely call-skewed open interest (calls 12,493 vs puts 68; put/call OI ratio 0.01) = bullish/optimistic sentiment bias.
Activity: Reported today volume = 0 (so the signal is more from existing positioning than fresh flow).
Volatility: 30D IV ~69.65 vs historical vol ~24.33; IV percentile ~37 (not extreme vs its own history, but still elevated in absolute terms), consistent with event premium ahead of earnings.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analyst catalyst: Cantor Fitzgerald initiated Overweight with $34 PT (2026-01-23), citing multi-year utility capex/grid modernization tailwinds and recurring MSA-driven revenue.
- Macro/industry tailwinds: electrification, energy transition, data-center power demand, and reshoring driving utility infrastructure spend.
- Upcoming event: Earnings on 2026-02-27 (Pre-Market) with EPS estimate ~0.18 could act as a catalyst if margin/profitability trends stabilize.
- Support-area entry: price is sitting near S1 support (~27.29), often a spot where rebounds start if buyers defend the level.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Short-term price/momentum weakness: -3.57% on the day and MACD worsening can keep pressure on the stock near term.
- Profitability pressure: sharp YoY deterioration in net income/EPS and gross margin (see financials) can cap upside until execution improves.
- No fresh news flow: no recent news catalysts in the past week to immediately reverse sentiment.
- Options imply expensive uncertainty: elevated absolute IV can reflect uncertainty into earnings, increasing the market’s pricing of big moves.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $850.0M, +18.05% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income $2.10M, -157.48% YoY; EPS $0.02, -150.00% YoY (earnings deterioration despite higher revenue).
Margins: Gross margin 8.38%, -12.71% YoY (margin compression is the key fundamental drag).
Takeaway: growth is solid, but the stock’s next leg higher likely depends on margin/profit normalization and execution through backlog.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Most recent: Cantor Fitzgerald initiated Overweight with $34 PT (2026-01-23) on multi-year utility capex/grid modernization tailwinds and recurring revenue.
Prior updates: UBS Neutral (PT to $24); Baird Outperform (PT to $27); JPMorgan Underweight (PT to $22) after “mixed” Q3 but building backlog.
Trend: Price targets have generally been moving up into the mid/high-20s, with the newest coverage adding a more bullish upside target.
Wall Street pros: durable utility/MSA revenue, backlog visibility, and structural demand from electrification/data centers.
Wall Street cons: margin compression and inconsistent earnings quality; mixed views across banks (from Underweight to Overweight).
Influential trading check: Hedge funds and insiders reported Neutral; no recent Congress trading data available in the last 90 days.

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CTRI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CTRI is 25.75 USD with a low forecast of 22 USD and a high forecast of 30 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

1 Hold

2 Sell

Hold

Current: 27.710

Low

Averages

25.75

High

Current: 27.710

Low

Averages

25.75

High

Cantor Fitzgerald

Manish Somaiya

Overweight

initiated

$34

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald

Manish Somaiya

Price Target

$34

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

initiated

Overweight

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Manish Somaiya initiated coverage of Centuri with an Overweight rating and $34 price target. The Engineering & Construction sector is entering a multi-year investment cycle fueled by grid modernization, electrification, energy transition initiatives, and rising power demand from data centers and reshoring, while increasing utility capex is driving record backlogs, offering strong near-term revenue visibility and a durable long-term project pipeline, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Centuri offers a highly recurring, MSA-driven utility revenue stream, with accelerating electric growth and rapid deleveraging following its spin, supporting valuation upside, Cantor argues.

UBS

Neutral

maintain

$22 -> $24

2025-11-13

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$22 -> $24

2025-11-13

maintain

Neutral

Reason

UBS raised the firm's price target on Centuri to $24 from $22 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for CTRI

Unlock Now

CTRI Should I Buy

CTRI Should I Buy

Should You Buy Centuri Holdings Inc (CTRI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch