With an impatient profile (unwilling to wait for cleaner setups), the current tape offers poor risk/reward: downside if $86.4 support breaks vs. upside capped below ~$98 pivot in the near term.
No recent insider/hedge fund trend signal and no congress trading data to provide a confidence boost into earnings.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish: moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), consistent with a downtrend / distribution phase.
Momentum is weakening: MACD histogram -1.02 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is accelerating.
RSI(6) at 37.83: leaning toward oversold, but not a clear reversal signal yet (can stay weak in downtrends).
Key levels: immediate support S1 ~86.42 (current 87.33 is sitting just above it). If it breaks, next support S2 ~79.21. Resistance is Pivot ~98.08, then R1 ~109.73.
Pattern-based forward stats provided: +1.09% next day / +2.51% next week, but -2.45% next month → short bounce potential, weaker intermediate follow-through.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment skew is moderately bullish: put/call ratios < 1 (more call activity vs puts) on both open interest (0.68) and volume (0.64).
Volatility is elevated: 30D IV ~100.43 vs historical vol ~84.34 → options are pricing large moves (often around earnings/news).
IV percentile 45 / IV rank 27.93: not extreme versus its own history, but still high in absolute terms.
Positioning/flow: today’s total OI ~1.84M is above the 30D avg (112.78%), while today’s volume is slightly below its 30D avg (92.43%) → build-up in positioning, but not a "panic" volume day.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Nvidia partnership expansion and incremental $2B equity investment narrative (supports long-term capacity build-out and credibility).
Large disclosed scale/backlog narrative in recent coverage: ~$1.4B quarterly revenue and ~$55B revenue backlog mentioned in news.
Multiple recent bullish analyst actions (upgrades and higher targets) can support dips.
Upcoming QDEC 2025 earnings (2026-02-16 AH) can act as a catalyst if execution/capacity delivery is confirmed.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
are a near-term sentiment overhang and can pressure multiples.
Profitability: still loss-making; Net Income - $110.1M (no YoY improvement shown) and EPS -0.22 (-88.11% YoY).
Gross margin: 72.97%, down 3.34% YoY → strong but trending lower.
Takeaway: growth is exceptional, but the market focus is shifting to execution, capital efficiency, and path-to-sustainable profitability—especially into 2026.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: sentiment improving with multiple upgrades/raised targets in late Jan 2026.
Notable actions/targets: Deutsche Bank upgraded to Buy with $140 PT (2026-01-27); DA Davidson upgraded to Buy with $110 PT (2026-01-26); Jefferies Buy $120 PT; Mizuho stayed Neutral but raised to $100; JPMorgan Neutral $110; Truist initiated Hold $84.
Wall Street pros: strong AI compute demand, improved scaling/execution support via Nvidia relationship, potential for higher 2026 revenue if capacity delivery stays on plan.
Wall Street cons: counterparty/capital-structure overhang and perceived risk that shares don’t sustainably rerate without “de-risking events”; near-term capacity constraints; heightened scrutiny into execution.
Wall Street analysts forecast CRWV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CRWV is 123.23 USD with a low forecast of 68 USD and a high forecast of 180 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
25 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CRWV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CRWV is 123.23 USD with a low forecast of 68 USD and a high forecast of 180 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Buy
13 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 74.650
Low
68
Averages
123.23
High
180
Current: 74.650
Low
68
Averages
123.23
High
180
Deutsche Bank
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$140
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$140
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Deutsche Bank upgraded CoreWeave to Buy from Hold with a $140 price target. The company's medium-term outlook is "solid" heading into the Q4 report, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes consensus revenue estimates for CoreWeave can move "materially higher" throughout 2026 if the company delivers capacity on plan to its contracted customers. Deutsche sees opportunity for CoreWeave to "differentiate versus peers" in 2026.
DA Davidson
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$68 -> $110
2026-01-26
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$68 -> $110
2026-01-26
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
DA Davidson upgraded CoreWeave to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $110, up from $68.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for CRWV
