Should I Buy CRWD? CRWD 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy CrowdStrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

395.500

1 Day change

4.86%

52 Week Range

566.900

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: trend is still bearish and momentum is deteriorating (MACD negative and expanding) while price is hovering just above key support (~413).
Downside risk is still open toward ~393 (S2) if support fails; probabilistic pattern also leans slightly negative over 1W/1M.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.
If you must act immediately: this is closer to a tactical “watch for a bounce off 413 with improving momentum” than a clean buy setup today.

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: Bearish structure with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, confirming a downtrend across timeframes.
MACD: Histogram -2.695 (below 0) and negatively expanding → selling pressure still building.
RSI(6): ~20.6, which is oversold/washed-out short term; this can spark bounces, but it’s not a reversal signal by itself.
Levels: Current 418 is just above S1 ~413; failure below S1 increases odds of move toward S2 ~392.9. Upside resistance is heavy: pivot ~445.8 then R1 ~478.5.
Near-term expected drift (pattern analogs): ~-0.47% next day, ~-1.3% next week, ~-2.46% next month (mild bearish bias).

Options Data

Neutral

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/sentiment: OI put/call ~0.95 is roughly balanced; volume put/call ~0.89 is slightly call-tilted (mildly bullish intraday speculation).
Volatility: IV 30D ~57.8 vs historical vol ~32.5, with IV percentile ~95.6 → options are pricing elevated event risk (notably into the Mar 3 earnings window), implying the market expects larger moves.
Liquidity/participation: Today’s option volume (~14.3k) is below recent averages (5D/10D ~25k/26k), suggesting no strong one-sided conviction today.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Secular growth narrative remains strong: company expects TAM expansion (e.g., commentary pointing toward doubling by 2030), supportive for premium cybersecurity platforms.
- Analyst tone is broadly constructive with multiple raised price targets and reiterated Buys, citing platform breadth (SIEM/Identity/Cloud/AI) and growth durability.
- Upcoming earnings catalyst: Q4/FY2026 results on 2026-03-03 after hours could re-rate the stock if execution and guidance exceed expectations.
- Broader AI/tech read-throughs (e.g., strong AI demand headlines) can support sentiment for high-quality software leaders.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Clear near-term technical damage: bearish moving-average stack + worsening MACD reduces the odds that “oversold” immediately becomes “reversal.”
- Flow/smart-money concern: Hedge funds net selling sharply over the last quarter; insiders also increasing selling over the last month.
- Elevated implied volatility indicates the market is braced for big moves; without a bullish technical base, that asymmetry is not ideal for an impatient entry.
- Macro headlines (e.g., softer labor/hiring print) can pressure high-multiple growth stocks on risk-off days.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2026/Q3.
Revenue: $1.234B, +22.18% YoY (still strong growth, though slower than prior hyper-growth eras).
Profitability trend: Net income improved to -$34.0M (loss narrowed materially YoY); EPS improved to -$0.14.
Margins: Gross margin ~75.1%, slightly higher YoY, consistent with high-quality SaaS unit economics.
Overall: fundamentals are improving, but the stock’s near-term entry quality is being dictated more by technical/flow factors than by quarterly fundamentals today.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent direction: price targets have generally moved up (examples: Susquehanna to $600, Scotiabank to $613, BMO to $555, Freedom to $550; Berenberg upgrade to Buy with $600; TD Cowen Buy $580).
Rating mix: Many Buy/Outperform/Positive calls, but some Hold/Equal Weight/In Line remain, largely on valuation/pricing-in-a-bull-case concerns.
Wall Street “pros”: durable platform-led cybersecurity growth, expanding identity/SIEM footprint, improving margin trajectory.
Wall Street “cons”: valuation sensitivity and competition intensity (identity/access and broader platform security), making execution/guidance critical.
Politicians/congress trades: No recent congress trading data available (no confirmable political buying/selling signal).

34 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CRWD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CRWD is 562.25 USD with a low forecast of 353 USD and a high forecast of 640 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

23 Buy

11 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 377.160

Low

353

Averages

562.25

High

640

Current: 377.160

Low

353

Averages

562.25

High

640

Berenberg

Rahul Chopra

Hold

Buy

upgrade

$600

AI Analysis

2026-01-09

Reason

Berenberg

Rahul Chopra

Price Target

$600

AI Analysis

2026-01-09

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

Berenberg analyst Rahul Chopra upgraded CrowdStrike to Buy from Hold with an unchanged price target of $600. The firm cites valuation for the upgrade following the stock's recent underperformance. CrowdStrike "stands out" as one of the few software vendors "capable of sustaining sector-leading growth, supported by its unified architecture," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Berenberg views current share levels as an attractive entry point.

TD Cowen

Shaul Eyal

Buy

maintain

$580

2026-01-08

Reason

TD Cowen

Shaul Eyal

Price Target

$580

2026-01-08

maintain

Buy

Reason

TD Cowen analyst Shaul Eyal reiterates a Buy rating on CrowdStrike (CRWD) with a $580 price target following the company's acquisition of SGNL. The firm views the transaction positively. The deal builds on recent strategic trends in artificial intelligence and further exemplifies CrowdStrike's growing identity focus as it continues to expand its platform, the analyst tells investors in a research note. TD says competition within the mission-critical identity and access management arena is intensifying as Palo Alto (PANW) is set to complete the Cyberark (CYBR) acquisition.

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CRWD Should I Buy

CRWD Should I Buy

Should You Buy CrowdStrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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