Should I Buy CPHC? CPHC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Canterbury Park Holding Corp (CPHC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

15.010

1 Day change

-4.98%

52 Week Range

21.610

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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["Not a good buy right now: there are no Intellectia buy signals today (no AI Stock Picker, no SwingMax) and the setup is only mildly constructive technically.", "Fundamentals are currently deteriorating (Q3 2025 revenue, EPS, and net income all down sharply YoY), which reduces confidence in a near-term upside move without a clear catalyst.", "With price sitting near pivot/resistance and earnings coming soon (2026-02-12 after hours), the risk/reward for an impatient buyer is not attractive at current levels\u2014best stance is HOLD/AVOID new entry."]

Technical Analysis

["Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.019) and expanding, indicating improving upward momentum.", "RSI: RSI(6) at 58.48 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish, not overbought and not a strong buy signal.", "Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest consolidation (range-bound behavior rather than a decisive trend).", "Key levels: Pivot 15.618; price 15.78 is slightly above pivot. Near-term resistance at 16.061 (R1) then 16.335 (R2). Supports at 15.175 (S1) then 14.901 (S2).", "Pattern/stat tilt: Similar-pattern projection suggests modest upside probabilities (about +1.37% next day, +2.62% next week, +4.9% next month), but not strong enough to override weak fundamentals."]

Options Data

Bearish

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

["MACD momentum improving (positive and expanding), supporting a potential push toward 16.06 if buyers follow through.", "Gross margin slightly improved YoY (72.39%, +0.39% YoY), suggesting some resilience in profitability structure.", "Upcoming earnings on 2026-02-12 (after hours) could act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary surprise positively."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

["No news catalysts in the last week; lack of fresh positive drivers.", "Financial deterioration in the latest reported quarter: revenue down YoY and profitability (net income/EPS) down sharply.", "Price is close to resistance (16.06 area); failure to break above could keep the stock range-bound.", "Trading trends: Hedge funds neutral (no significant last-quarter trend) and insiders neutral (no significant last-month trend), indicating limited conviction buying pressure."]

Financial Performance

["Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.", "Revenue: 18.31M, down -5.03% YoY (top-line contraction).", "Net income: 487K, down -75.90% YoY (major profitability decline).", "EPS: 0.10, down -75.00% YoY (earnings power significantly weaker).", "Gross margin: 72.39%, up +0.39% YoY (slight margin improvement, but not enough to offset the earnings drop)."]

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

["No analyst rating or price target change data provided; no visible recent Wall Street upgrades/downgrades to support a buy thesis.", "Pros view (based on available data): improving technical momentum and slightly better gross margin could support a short-term pop if it clears 16.06.", "Cons view (based on available data): weak YoY revenue and steep net income/EPS declines make it hard to justify buying aggressively without a clear catalyst or valuation support."]

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CPHC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPHC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy