Should I Buy CPA? CPA 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Copa Holdings SA (CPA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

154.090

1 Day change

3.01%

52 Week Range

154.580

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: the trend is bullish but the stock is technically stretched (RSI overbought) and sitting near resistance, which raises near-term pullback risk.
Fundamentals are strong (Q3 2025 growth + expanding margins), and hedge-fund buying is a meaningful tailwind—this is a good stock, just not a clean entry at today’s price.
Options positioning is mixed (heavy put open interest vs call-leaning daily volume), reinforcing “near-term choppiness” rather than an obvious breakout setup.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 (uptrend intact).
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.876 and expanding above zero = bullish momentum still building.
Overbought risk: RSI_6 = 80.831 (overbought), often followed by consolidation/pullback even in strong trends.
Levels: Pivot 138.419; resistance R2 147.905 (price 146.645 is close to this ceiling). A failed push near ~147.9 increases pullback odds; a clean break above could extend the rally, but current positioning is late-cycle for an entry.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call = 3.07 (heavy puts outstanding → hedging or cautious sentiment). Today’s volume put/call = 0.39 (calls led today’s trading activity).
Volatility: 30D IV 35.99 vs historical vol 24.15 (options priced rich vs realized); IV percentile 69.6 suggests elevated relative pricing.
Activity: Today’s volume (104) is light vs 30D average (~41.6% of avg), so today’s flow may be less informative than the large existing put OI.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

on 2026-02-11 after hours—potential upside if results/guide beat expectations.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

increases probability of near-term mean reversion.
can reflect meaningful hedging demand.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 913.149M, +6.84% YoY (steady top-line growth).
Net income: 173.35M, +18.71% YoY (profit growing faster than revenue).
EPS: 4.2, +20.00% YoY (strong per-share earnings momentum).
Gross margin: 53.49%, +5.50% YoY (notable margin expansion supports quality of earnings growth).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

2025-12-08: JPMorgan lowered PT to $170 from $180; maintained Overweight; continues to view CPA as a top pick.
2025-11-30: Itau BBA initiated at Market Perform with $126 PT.
Wall Street pros: Strong operator with solid earnings/margin trajectory; JPM-style view implies further upside from current price.
Wall Street cons: Divergent targets (126 vs 170) suggest disagreement on valuation/upside after the run; mixed stance aligns with a “good company, entry timing matters” setup.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders reported as neutral with no significant recent trend.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CPA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPA is 157 USD with a low forecast of 141 USD and a high forecast of 170 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 149.590

Low

141

Averages

157

High

170

Current: 149.590

Low

141

Averages

157

High

170

JPMorgan

Overweight

downgrade

$180 -> $170

AI Analysis

2025-12-08

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$180 -> $170

AI Analysis

2025-12-08

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Copa Holdings to $170 from $180 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares ahead of the investor day. The firm continues to view Copa as a top pick in Latin American airlines.

Itau BBA

initiated

$126

2025-11-30

Reason

Itau BBA

Price Target

$126

2025-11-30

initiated

Reason

Itau BBA initiated coverage of Copa Holdings with a Market Perform rating and $126 price target.

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CPA Should I Buy

CPA Should I Buy

Should You Buy Copa Holdings SA (CPA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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