CNX Should I Buy
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["Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: the stock is already near/above key resistance (R2 ~39.29) and well above most recent Street price targets (many targets $25\u2013$35 vs. $38.99).", "Trend is bullish short-term (bullish MAs + expanding positive MACD), but risk/reward is unfavorable at this level given hedge funds are aggressively selling and analysts are predominantly cautious (multiple Underweights).", "Best stance here is HOLD (or wait for a pullback closer to support ~37.44 / 36.30) rather than chase at ~$39."]
["Trend/Momentum: Bullish; SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 and MACD histogram is positive (0.239) and expanding, indicating strengthening upside momentum.", "RSI: RSI(6) ~61.8 (neutral-to-warm), suggesting upside momentum but not an extreme overbought condition.", "Levels: Pivot ~37.44; resistance R1 ~38.59 already cleared; next resistance R2 ~39.29 is very close to the current price (38.99), implying limited near-term upside before hitting supply.", "Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: AI Stock Picker = no signal today; SwingMax = no recent signal (no strong proprietary \u2018must-buy-now\u2019 trigger).", "Pattern-based outlook provided: modestly flat near-term expectation (next day ~0.05%, next week ~0.46%, next month ~-0.27%), aligning with a \u2018range/plateau\u2019 setup after a run."]
["Q4 2025 results beat expectations (GAAP EPS reported 1.28 vs much lower consensus in preview) and management highlighted operational resilience and confidence in the deep Utica program.", "Some constructive macro/sector framing from certain analysts (e.g., Scotiabank sees improving gas fundamentals/supply deficits; prior JPM upgrade cited demand inflection for natural gas).", "Gross margin improved materially (latest quarter margin up to ~42.99%)."]
sit below the current price ($38.99).", "Trading trends show hedge funds selling aggressively (selling amount up ~282% QoQ), a notable institutional headwind.", "Near-term technical overhang: price is pressing into the next resistance band (R2 ~39.29), where pullbacks commonly occur."]
["Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.", "Revenue: $490.98M, up ~32.24% YoY (growth positive).", "Profitability: Net income $196.25M down ~235.70% YoY and EPS 1.27 down ~230.93% YoY (suggests prior-year comps/one-offs or volatility in realized pricing/hedges; overall earnings trend is mixed despite the quarter\u2019s headline beat).", "Margins: Gross margin improved to ~42.99% (+41.04% YoY), a constructive efficiency/realization signal."]
["Recent rating/target trend: price targets were nudged up after Q4, but ratings remain mostly cautious (several Underweights maintained).", "Key updates: Barclays downgraded to Underweight (PT 34) citing valuation after outperformance; Piper and Morgan Stanley kept Underweight with low targets ($25\u2013$32); Roth and Mizuho are Neutral ($35\u2013$43); Scotiabank is Sector Perform with a higher PT ($44).", "Wall Street \u2018pros\u2019: recognition of stronger prints/volumes, improving gas backdrop, and company execution.", "Wall Street \u2018cons\u2019: valuation and inventory duration concerns, plus the stock trading above/near many targets\u2014implying limited upside from here in the eyes of several covering analysts."]
