Not a good buy right now: price is breaking out above near-term resistance, but momentum confirmation is weak (MACD histogram negative and worsening).
With earnings on 2026-02-09 (after hours) and options IV extremely elevated, the market is pricing a big move; that reduces the “clean” edge for an impatient entry.
Acquisition completion + synergy story is a real positive, but the financing-driven leverage and recent profit compression make the current setup more mixed than compelling.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: No signal on given stock today.
Trend/structure: Bullish moving average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) supports an intermediate uptrend.
Price action: $21.92 is above R2 (21.848) and above R1 (21.44), signaling a breakout attempt; pivot support sits near ~20.78.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0651 and negatively expanding = bullish trend but weakening momentum (needs confirmation).
RSI: RSI_6 ~61.9 (neutral-to-slightly-warm), not overbought, but also not a strong “oversold bounce” entry.
Near-term pattern odds (from similar candlesticks): modest 1-day upside bias, but flat-to-negative skew over 1 month (-1.14%).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Open interest put/call ratio 0.2 is strongly call-leaning (bullish sentiment/positioning).
Activity: Very low absolute volume today (total options volume 4; puts 0) but volume vs 30-day average is high (9.52x), implying a small but notable pickup.
Volatility: IV_30d ~83.98 with IV percentile 92.4 = options are very expensive, consistent with a catalyst window (earnings + post-acquisition integration).
Takeaway: Sentiment tilts bullish, but the “priced-in move” is elevated given the extreme IV.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
can attract momentum buyers.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Profitability trend: Latest quarter showed sharp YoY declines in net income and EPS, which can cap near-term multiple expansion.
Financing/leveraging: $900M senior secured notes to fund the acquisition increases balance-sheet burden and raises execution pressure.
Technical momentum mismatch: MACD histogram is below zero and deteriorating, conflicting with the bullish MA structure.
Deal conditions: Required divestitures may dilute some strategic benefits depending on what was sold and at what economics.
Profit: Net income 4.595M, -130.55% YoY; EPS 0.16, -130.77% YoY (material earnings compression).
Margin: Gross margin 31.59% (+13.88% YoY), indicating better gross efficiency even though net results fell (suggesting below-the-line impacts such as financing/integration/one-offs).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided in the dataset, so a verified recent trend (upgrades/downgrades or target revisions) cannot be summarized here.
Wall Street-style pro view (based on provided info): acquisition scale + synergy potential can lift earnings power over time.
Wall Street-style con view (based on provided info): debt-funded deal plus recent EPS/net income decline increases the burden of proof on execution in upcoming quarters.
Wall Street analysts forecast CMCO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMCO is 15 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 15 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CMCO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMCO is 15 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 15 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 21.000
Low
15
Averages
15
High
15
Current: 21.000
Low
15
Averages
15
High
15
DA Davidson
Matt Summerville
Strong Buy
to
Hold
Downgrades
$35
AI Analysis
2025-02-11
Reason
DA Davidson
Matt Summerville
Price Target
$35
AI Analysis
2025-02-11
Downgrades
Strong Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Columbus McKinnon (CMCO) announced a definitive agreement under which Columbus McKinnon will acquire Kito Crosby from funds managed by leading global investment firm KKR (KKR) in an all-cash transaction valued at $2.7B subject to customary post-closing purchase price adjustments. The company expects the deal to close later this calendar year, subject to regulatory approvals and satisfactory completion of customary closing conditions. Kito Crosby is a "global leader" in lifting solutions with multiple manufacturing assembly plants and nearly 4,000 employees serving over 50 countries. The combined company will have a highly attractive financial profile, with meaningfully enhanced scale, increased margins and exceptional cash flow characteristics that are consistent with best-in-class industrial product manufacturers. On a pro-forma basis, the company is expected to have annual revenue of $2.1B, Adjusted EBITDA of $486M and an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 23%, accelerating the achievement of the company's fiscal year 2027 financial targets established at its 2022 Investor Day. The transaction is expected to be accretive to the company's Adjusted Earnings Per Share1 in the first year after closing and grow over time as synergies are achieved. The company expects to achieve $70M in annual net cost synergies by year three. The combined significant cashflow generation will enable the company to de-lever in the near-term and expects to reduce its Net Leverage Ratio from approximately 4.8x pro forma Adjusted EBITDA post transaction closing to approximately 3.0x within two years post-closing. The company's enhanced scale, margin profile and free cash flow provides a strong foundation to continue to return cash to shareholders through its dividend, reinvest in long-term organic growth and, over time, pursue additional acquisitions as it continues to execute on its strategy of building the premier intelligent motion solutions provider.
