Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is pushing into/above near-term resistance after earnings while short-term momentum looks stretched.
Upside exists if the post-earnings move follows through, but risk/reward is unfavorable at current levels given overbought readings and bearish near-term probabilistic trend (-1W/-1M).
Hedge funds/insiders: no meaningful accumulation signal to justify chasing the move.
Technical Analysis
Pre-market price 215 (+1.06%) is above R1 (212.06) and below R2 (~220.84): stock is in a resistance zone where breakouts often fail without strong follow-through.
MACD histogram +2.682 and expanding: bullish momentum is present.
RSI(6) ~72.96: stretched/near-overbought, increasing odds of a pullback or consolidation.
Moving averages converging: trend is improving but not a clean, strong uptrend; price is more “pop-and-test-resistance” than “steady climb.”
Key levels: Pivot ~197.84 (line-in-the-sand support). If it loses ~212, risk rises of mean reversion back toward ~198.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (OI P/C 0.71) is call-leaning overall, but today’s trading flow is put-heavy (volume P/C 1.49) → near-term caution/hedging despite bullish longer-term positioning.
Implied vol (30D) ~49.7 vs historical vol ~33.6 with IV percentile ~83.6: options are pricey, suggesting elevated event/uncertainty premium.
Today’s volume is ~61.8% of 30D average (not a major frenzy), but open interest is elevated (today vs avg OI ~113%), implying meaningful existing positioning.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
alongside management commentary pointing to 2026 EBITDA growth and better longer-term capex/FCF trajectory (per TD Cowen summary).
provide sentiment support.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
2025/Q4 revenue declined ~2.3% YoY and missed expectations; net income down ~9.1% YoY → core top-line pressure persists.
Broadband subscriber pressure remains a key bear thesis (reported internet customer losses), and competition from fiber/fixed wireless is highlighted by bearish analysts (Goldman Sell; Wells Underweight).
Near-term setup is technically stretched at resistance (RSI high; price above R1), increasing pullback risk.
Similar-pattern trend stats point negative over the next week/month (-2.04% 1W, -3.46% 1M), arguing against chasing strength.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $13.601B, -2.33% YoY (declining trend).
Net income: $1.332B, -9.14% YoY (profit pressure).
EPS: +2.57% YoY to ~10.37 (helped by cost/share dynamics despite weaker net income).
Gross margin: 31.41%, down YoY (margin compression).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target trend is mixed but active after earnings: bulls raised targets materially (Benchmark $455 Buy; TD Cowen $437 Buy), while bears stayed bearish (Wells Underweight $200; Goldman Sell $185) and some neutrals cut earlier (UBS Neutral $233; Bernstein Market Perform $240).
Wall Street “pros” view: improving long-term FCF/share and capex outlook, wireless growth, and post-deal/pro-forma optimism.
Wall Street “cons” view: structurally tougher broadband competition, subscriber erosion risk, and revenue/EBITDA pressure despite cost actions.
Influential/political trading: no recent Congress trading data available; no notable politician activity provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast CHTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CHTR is 286.91 USD with a low forecast of 165 USD and a high forecast of 428 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CHTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CHTR is 286.91 USD with a low forecast of 165 USD and a high forecast of 428 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
6 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 223.530
Low
165
Averages
286.91
High
428
Current: 223.530
Low
165
Averages
286.91
High
428
Benchmark
Matthew Harrigan
Buy
maintain
$425 -> $455
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
Reason
Benchmark
Matthew Harrigan
Price Target
$425 -> $455
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
maintain
Buy
Reason
Benchmark analyst Matthew Harrigan raised the firm's price target on Charter to $455 from $425 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The $455 price target is "admittedly more of a fair value assessment than a near-term trading expectation and is off a forecast through 2030," notes the analyst, who say it reflects the Cox Communications acquisition and concomitant Liberty ownership roll-in with a key element being a single OIBDA multiple pro forma for the Cox acquisition.
TD Cowen
Buy
maintain
$428 -> $437
2026-02-02
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$428 -> $437
2026-02-02
maintain
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on Charter to $437 from $428 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said they posted mixed 4Q25 results but better BB sub losses and actually gained video subs. Management provided positive commentary reiterating 2026 EBITDA growth, better 2026 cash taxes, and an even better long-term capex cycle for an even better long-term FCF/share outlook.
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