Should I Buy CHT? CHT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd (CHT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

41.570

1 Day change

0.41%

52 Week Range

47.030

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: short-term technicals are still bearish (MACD negative and worsening) and price is trading below the key pivot.
Near-term setup looks like a soft downtrend/weak consolidation with limited upside catalysts for an immediate pop, despite fundamentally steady telecom results.
If you must act today, the only favorable angle is a defensive/low-volatility profile, but the chart suggests better odds after a clearer reversal back above ~42.34 (pivot).

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.0717 and negatively expanding = bearish momentum still increasing.
RSI (6): 32.7 = getting close to oversold territory (bounce potential), but not a confirmed reversal signal.
Moving averages: Converging = consolidation; combined with bearish MACD, consolidation bias leans downward.
Key levels: Current pre-market 41.84 is below Pivot 42.343 (bearish). Immediate support S1 41.738 (very close); next S2 41.364. Resistance levels R1 42.949 and R2 43.323.
Pattern-based odds: Similar pattern implies -1.09% next week but +3.62% next month, suggesting the trade may work better with patience than as a same-day entry.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Neutral

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest is tiny (calls 2 / puts 2; total OI 4), so options positioning is not very informative for sentiment.
Put/Call OI = 1.0 = balanced positioning.
No meaningful options volume today (0), so there’s no strong directional pressure implied.
Implied vol (30D) 54.69 vs historical vol 10.82 = options are pricing elevated uncertainty; for stock buyers this can mean the market expects movement, but direction is not signaled by volume/OI here.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Q4 2025 results (reported 2026-02-03): revenue +0.5% YoY to NT$65.65B; stable performance in a competitive telecom market.
- 2025 net income +3.2% and EPS cited at NT$1.20 (per news summary), reinforcing steady profitability.
- International Business growth: +2.5% in Q4, with Southeast Asia +12%, supporting longer-term expansion narrative.
- 2026 guidance calls for continued revenue/profit growth with investments in digital transformation, 5G, and sustainability.
- Seeking Alpha Quant view characterized as stable/attractive, supporting longer-horizon investor confidence.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Price action risk: bearish momentum (MACD worsening) and trading below pivot raises odds of a near-term drift toward 41.74 / 41.36 supports.
- Low immediate growth profile: Q4 revenue growth was only +0.5% YoY, which may not attract fast money.
- No strong options sentiment signal (near-zero volume, minimal OI) to indicate a near-term bullish catalyst is being positioned for.

Financial Performance

Latest provided quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: 1,935,527,955.4 (+12.29% YoY) = strong top-line growth trend in the provided snapshot.
Net income: 315,438,631.27 (+13.02% YoY) = profitability improving faster than revenue.
EPS: 0.04 (flat YoY as provided) = earnings per share growth not showing up in this snapshot despite higher net income.
Gross margin: 37.14 (+1.23% YoY) = modest margin improvement.
Overall: fundamentals look steady-to-improving, but the current entry timing is more challenged by technical momentum than by business deterioration.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No detailed Wall Street analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so no clear recent upgrade/downgrade trend can be confirmed.
Available signal: Seeking Alpha Quant commentary frames the stock as stable/attractive, implying a conservative, quality/defensive profile rather than a high-upside momentum story.
Wall Street-style pros typically align with: durable cash flows, defensive telecom demand, and guided growth; cons typically align with: competitive telecom pricing and limited near-term acceleration.
Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available (and no politician activity was provided).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CHT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CHT is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy