Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Dominant trend remains bearish (MA stack) and MACD upside momentum is fading (histogram contracting).
- Very high implied volatility (~290%) signals elevated uncertainty; moves can be violent, and pricing implies the market expects turbulence.
- No supportive news flow in the last week to justify a momentum reversal.
- Support risk: trading around S1 (~1.206); a break increases downside odds toward ~1.169.