Should I Buy CDRE? CDRE 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

41.630

1 Day change

3.15%

52 Week Range

46.640

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Buy now (pre-market ~$42) for a near-term continuation move: fundamentals and catalysts outweigh a currently neutral technical setup.
The TYR Tactical acquisition is a clear, immediately accretive catalyst that can support multiple expansion and upward revisions.
Caveat: heavy insider selling is the main red flag, but with an impatient profile, the setup is still attractive near pivot support with defined upside to resistance.

Technical Analysis

Price context: pre-market ~$42, sitting just below the pivot (42.429), implying a "decision zone" rather than an extended, chase-level breakout.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.233 (below zero) but negatively contracting → downside momentum is fading, often consistent with basing.
RSI(6) 54.676 → neutral; no overbought/oversold extremes.
Moving averages: converging → consolidation/range behavior; a push above the pivot that holds increases odds of testing resistance.
Key levels: Support S1 39.786 (risk line), Resistance R1 45.073 then R2 46.706 (upside targets if momentum returns).
Pattern-based odds: similar-pattern projection suggests modest upside bias (next week ~+4.1%, next month ~+4.15%).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Open interest put/call ratio 0.62 (more calls than puts) → generally bullish/constructive sentiment.
Activity: option volume is essentially 0 today → sentiment is based on positioning, not fresh aggressive flow.
Volatility: IV30 ~58.07 vs historical vol ~34.66 → options are priced rich vs realized; also IV has fallen from very elevated 5–10D averages (IV 5D ~92.9, IV 10D ~88.2), suggesting volatility has been coming down post-event.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Event-driven: completion of TYR Tactical acquisition (reported base consideration ~$144M; analysts cite ~$175M base) strengthens tactical gear portfolio and expands exposure to durable end-markets.
- Analyst framing: management expects TYR to be immediately accretive to earnings and adjusted EBITDA margins (supports near-term upward estimate revisions).
- End-market demand backdrop: cited strength across law enforcement, military, and nuclear markets (per B. Riley commentary).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insider selling: insiders are selling and the selling amount increased sharply (+15531.04% over the last month) → bearish signal on near-term confidence/supply overhang.
- Technical posture is not a clear uptrend yet: MACD still below zero and moving averages converging → could remain range-bound unless it reclaims/holds above the pivot.
- Hedge fund trend: neutral with no significant recent accumulation tailwind.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3 showed strong acceleration.
Revenue: $155.869M, +42.47% YoY.
Net income: $10.941M, +199.34% YoY.
EPS: $0.27, +200.00% YoY.
Gross margin: 42.74%, +16.84% YoY → improving profitability/operating quality heading into the acquisition integration phase.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent actions are bullish: Roth Capital (2026-02-03) reiterated Buy and raised PT to $50 from $49 after the TYR acquisition, citing immediate accretion.
Prior upgrade in expectations: B. Riley (2025-11-06) maintained Buy and raised PT to $62 from $50, pointing to strong demand and sustained growth potential.
Wall Street pros view: upside case is margin + earnings accretion plus durable public safety/defense demand; key con is execution/integration plus the notable insider-selling overhang.
Influential trading check: no recent Congress trading data available.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CDRE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CDRE is 53.33 USD with a low forecast of 49 USD and a high forecast of 62 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 40.360

Low

Averages

53.33

High

Current: 40.360

Low

Averages

53.33

High

Lake Street

Buy

maintain

$49 -> $53

AI Analysis

2026-02-04

New

Reason

Lake Street

Price Target

$49 -> $53

AI Analysis

2026-02-04

New

maintain

Buy

Reason

Lake Street raised the firm's price target on Cadre to $53 from $49 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company completed its previously announced acquisition of TYR Tactical. The deal closing prompted updates to the firm's model to reflect the incremental revenue, margin contribution, and share issuance associated with the transaction, the analyst noted.

Roth Capital

Matt Koranda

Buy

maintain

$49 -> $50

2026-02-03

New

Reason

Roth Capital

Matt Koranda

Price Target

$49 -> $50

2026-02-03

New

maintain

Buy

Reason

Roth Capital analyst Matt Koranda raised the firm's price target on Cadre to $50 from $49 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is updating its model after the company announced that it completed the acquisition of TYR Tactical for $175mn in base consideration, and the management expects TYR to be immediately accretive to earnings and adjusted EBITDA margins, Roth added.

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CDRE Should I Buy

CDRE Should I Buy

Should You Buy Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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