Should I Buy CCK? CCK 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Crown Holdings Inc (CCK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

112.880

1 Day change

-1.16%

52 Week Range

115.850

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price is extended into overbought territory (RSI~87) and sitting just below a key resistance zone (R2 ~112.96) ahead of earnings.
Options positioning is notably defensive (put-heavy), and hedge-fund flow is strongly negative, both of which reduce the odds of a clean near-term upside follow-through.
If you already own it, the trend is still bullish (MACD/MA stack), but for a new entry right now the setup is unfavorable going into the earnings event.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with a positive, expanding MACD histogram (+0.486) → momentum is up.
Condition: RSI_6 at ~86.996 signals overbought/extended—statistically prone to pullbacks or consolidation.
Levels: Pre-market ~112.4 is above R1 (110.387) and approaching R2 (112.96). Support/pivot sits much lower near 106.221; a mean-reversion move would have room.
Short-term pattern odds (candlestick analogs): model suggests a 60% chance of -2.11% next day and -3.01% next week, aligning with an overbought fade risk.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put open interest (9,641) far exceeds call OI (3,529) → defensive/bearish positioning.
Activity: Total volume 162 vs 5–10 day averages (~192 / ~171) suggests no broad “risk-on” options chase today.
Volatility: 30D IV ~27.17 vs HV ~27.88 (roughly in line). IV percentile ~69.88 indicates relatively elevated option pricing, consistent with pre-earnings demand for protection.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings catalyst: Q4 results on 2026-02-04 (after hours) with consensus EPS ~1.69–1.70 and revenue ~2.99B; a beat/raise could push through resistance.
- Analyst optimism exists on packaging fundamentals: Truist highlights beverage can growth in NA/EU and potential containerboard pricing discipline.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Pre-earnings positioning risk: heavy put skew (high put/call ratios) implies market is braced for downside or hedging into the print.
- Flow: Hedge funds are selling aggressively (selling amount up ~707% QoQ), a meaningful near-term headwind.
- Technical stretch: Overbought RSI and price pressing resistance increase the chance of a pullback even if the long-term trend is intact.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 3.202B, +4.16% YoY (top-line growth positive).
Profitability: Net income 214M, down -222.29% YoY; EPS 1.85, down -225.85% YoY (sharp earnings deterioration vs prior year).
Margin: Gross margin 18.99%, +1.17% YoY (some improvement at the gross level, but not flowing through to net/EPS in the snapshot).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent rating/target changes (2026-01-06):
- Truist: Buy, PT raised to 130 (from 126) — constructive on beverage can growth and pricing discipline.
- Wells Fargo: Equal Weight, PT raised to 106 (from 99) — acknowledges tougher 2025 and is waiting for a clearer rebound catalyst; cautious on consumer health (K-shaped economy concern).
Wall Street pros: credible end-market growth narrative (beverage cans) and potential pricing support in packaging.
Wall Street cons: mixed conviction (Buy vs Equal Weight) and ongoing concern about demand softness/catalyst visibility.
Influential/politician trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders are neutral (no significant recent insider trend).

10 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CCK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CCK is 123.2 USD with a low forecast of 106 USD and a high forecast of 140 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

9 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 114.200

Low

106

Averages

123.2

High

140

Current: 114.200

Low

106

Averages

123.2

High

140

Truist

Michael Roxland

Buy

maintain

$130 -> $135

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

Reason

Truist

Michael Roxland

Price Target

$130 -> $135

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

maintain

Buy

Reason

Truist analyst Michael Roxland raised the firm's price target on Crown Holdings to $135 from $130 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings beat. The company's free cash flow could be about $1B or more, with normalized capex of $450-$500M following the conclusion of capacity investments and plant startup, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Baird

Neutral

maintain

$110 -> $120

2026-02-06

New

Reason

Baird

Price Target

$110 -> $120

2026-02-06

New

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Baird raised the firm's price target on Crown Holdings to $120 from $110 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following results which suggest strong fundamentals but earnings growth moderation in 2026.

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CCK Should I Buy

CCK Should I Buy

Should You Buy Crown Holdings Inc (CCK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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