Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is in a clear downtrend (bearish MA stack + negative MACD) and pre-market is breaking toward support.
Options flow is near-term bearish (very high put/call volume), and insiders are aggressively selling—both reduce the odds of an immediate upside follow-through.
Best tactical stance today: HOLD/avoid new buys until price reclaims the pivot (63.68) or shows a clean bounce off support (59.31) with improving momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram -1.367 (below 0) and only contracting slightly—bearish momentum still present.
RSI(6): 33.0 (weak/near-oversold zone), which can allow a short bounce, but not a confirmed reversal signal.
Key levels: Support S1 ~59.31 (current pre-market 58.74 is slightly below), next S2 ~56.61; Resistance pivot ~63.68 then R1 ~68.05.
Pattern-based forward odds: ~30% chance of flat next day (-0.02%), but higher odds of rebound over 1 week (+3.5%) and 1 month (+11.45%)—suggesting any entry is higher-quality after stabilization.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: No signal on given stock today. (No AI Stock Picker; no recent SwingMax entry.)
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI = 0.62 (more calls than puts outstanding) → not structurally bearish.
Flow (Volume): Put/Call volume = 4.12 with put volume 55,872 vs call volume 13,563 → strongly bearish/defensive near-term sentiment.
Activity: Today’s option volume is ~253% of 30-day average → unusually high attention, skewed to puts.
Volatility: 30D IV ~58.89 vs HV ~52.59; IV percentile ~59 → options priced for elevated moves (not extreme, but not cheap).
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
quickly and pushes back above the pivot (~63.68).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Current technical regime is bearish (downtrend + negative MACD); pre-market weakness is pressuring/breaking first support.
Insider activity: Insiders are Selling, with selling amount up ~1239% over the last month → negative signal for near-term confidence.
Options sentiment is near-term bearish (put volume dominates), implying traders are hedging or positioning for downside.
News backdrop highlights pricing sensitivity and competitive fast-casual pricing strategies; consumers shifting toward cheaper convenience options could pressure traffic.
Last reported quarter showed margin and earnings contraction despite revenue growth (profitability risk in a price-competitive environment).
Net income: $14.747M, -17.92% YoY (profit down despite sales growth).
EPS: $0.12, -20.00% YoY.
Gross margin: 25.41%, down 4.29% YoY → margin compression is the key weakness trend.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target trend: Mostly upward revisions/initiations into early 2026 (BofA to $82 Buy; Truist raised to $78 Buy; Telsey initiated Outperform $85; Barclays raised to $70 Equal Weight; UBS to $66 Neutral; Mizuho to $64 Neutral). One notable cut: Morgan Stanley lowered to $80 (kept Equal Weight).
Wall Street pros: Category-leading Mediterranean fast-casual concept, strong unit growth runway, potential demand tailwinds in 2026, premium-brand positioning.
Wall Street cons: Industry traffic remains challenged, pricing power/margins under pressure (risk of discounting/food inflation), and valuation sensitivity if comps slow.
Net read: Fundamental/longer-term outlook is generally positive, but near-term execution + macro/consumer sensitivity keeps several firms at Neutral/Equal Weight.
Wall Street analysts forecast CAVA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CAVA is 73.29 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 86 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
18 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CAVA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CAVA is 73.29 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 86 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 64.550
Low
60
Averages
73.29
High
86
Current: 64.550
Low
60
Averages
73.29
High
86
Benchmark
NULL
to
Buy
initiated
$80
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Benchmark
Price Target
$80
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
initiated
NULL
to
Buy
Reason
Benchmark last night initiated coverage of Cava Group with a Buy rating and $80 price target. The firm cites Cava's scale leadership in the "rapidly emerging" Mediterranean category for the Buy rating. Cava offers 450 units across a 29-state footprint with an "industry-leading" unit economic model that supports 15% annual unit growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Benchmark says the stock deserves a premium multiple.
Benchmark
Todd Brooks
Buy
initiated
$80
2026-02-04
New
Reason
Benchmark
Todd Brooks
Price Target
$80
2026-02-04
New
initiated
Buy
Reason
Benchmark analyst Todd Brooks initiated coverage of Cava Group with a Buy rating and $80 price target.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for CAVA
