Should I Buy CAPL? CAPL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Crossamerica Partners LP (CAPL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

21.960

1 Day change

-0.99%

52 Week Range

25.180

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: the trend is clearly bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and momentum is still deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and expanding lower).
While RSI(6) ~14 is extremely oversold and can spark a short bounce, there is no Intellectia buy signal to prioritize, and the broader setup still favors downside/weak chop rather than a clean reversal.
With no near-term news catalysts and only modestly negative near-term pattern odds (next month -1.12% bias), the risk/reward for an impatient entry is not attractive today.

Technical Analysis

Trend/MAs: Bearish structure (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) confirms a prevailing downtrend.
Momentum (MACD): MACD histogram at -0.132 and negatively expanding suggests selling pressure is still building rather than stabilizing.
Momentum (RSI): RSI_6 at 13.954 signals extreme oversold conditions; this supports the possibility of a reflex bounce, but does not by itself confirm a trend reversal.
Key levels: Pivot 20.642; resistance R1 21.273 and R2 21.662. Pre-market price 22.1 is above R2, so any failure to hold above ~~21.66 can quickly turn into a fade back toward the pivot (~~20.64).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Open interest put-call ratio 0.16 is put-light (generally more bullish/less hedging), but it can also reflect limited options participation.
Activity: Today’s options volume is extremely low (6 calls, 0 puts), so sentiment read-through is weak.
Volatility: IV percentile 16 / IV rank 8.29 suggests relatively cheap IV vs its own history; 30D IV (25.34) is well below recent 5D/10D averages, implying volatility has cooled.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Extremely oversold RSI can drive a short-term mean-reversion bounce.
- Options open-interest skew is bullish (very low put/call OI ratio).
- Next earnings date set for 2026-02-25 (after hours) can become a catalyst as it approaches.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Downtrend is intact and confirmed by bearish moving-average stack.
- MACD momentum continues to worsen (no sign of bullish convergence).
- No supportive news flow in the last week; no event-driven catalyst to force a reversal.
- Pattern-based outlook is slightly negative over the next month (-1.12% bias).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 971,847,000 (down -9.94% YoY), indicating top-line contraction.
Profitability: Net income 12,892,000 (up +27.32% YoY) and EPS 0.34 (up +25.93% YoY), showing earnings resilience despite weaker revenue.
Margins: Gross margin 9.15 (up +5.41% YoY), a constructive efficiency/profit mix improvement.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided, so a recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade narrative cannot be confirmed.
Practical takeaway: without visible analyst support/target raises in the dataset, there is no external “pros” momentum signal to offset the bearish technical trend.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CAPL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CAPL is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy