Should I Buy CAAP? CAAP 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Corporacion America Airports SA (CAAP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

28.900

1 Day change

2.34%

52 Week Range

30.500

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now at ~29.5 pre-market: price is pressing into near-term resistance (R1 ~30.145) while momentum is starting to cool (MACD histogram still positive but contracting).
Wall Street’s latest target update is effectively bearish at today’s price: JPMorgan raised PT to $27 but CAAP trades above that, implying limited upside vs stated target.
Fundamentals are strong (2025/Q3 showed sharp profit acceleration), but the near-term statistical pattern you provided leans slightly negative over the next week/month—so for an impatient buyer, the risk/reward is unattractive at this level.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with stacked moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram at 0.187 (above 0) but positively contracting → bullish momentum remains, but is weakening vs prior days.
RSI: RSI(6) ~67.8 → nearing overbought; upside may be harder to sustain without a pullback/consolidation.
Key levels: Pivot ~28.715 (first area to watch for dip-buy support), resistance at R1 ~30.145 then R2 ~31.029. At 29.5, you’re closer to resistance than support, which is a poor “impatient entry” setup.
Pattern-based outlook provided: ~+1.17% next day probability skew, but -0.52% next week and -1.15% next month → suggests near-term chop/pullback risk.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.54 (puts < calls) → generally a constructive/bullish sentiment signal.
Activity (Volume): Report shows put volume 110 and call volume 0 (volume ratio shown as 0.0). With calls at 0, the day’s flow looks put-heavy in practice, so near-term sentiment from today’s tape is not clearly bullish.
Volatility: 30D IV ~47.65 vs HV ~51.55 (IV below realized) and IV percentile ~48 (mid-range). IV has come down vs short-term averages (IV 5D/10D higher than current), implying less “fear premium” priced than recently.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

broadly supports bullish positioning.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

despite an Overweight rating—creates a valuation/expectations headwind for near-term upside.
rather than near support (pivot ~28.715), which reduces immediate upside for an impatient entry.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 527.272M, +14.18% YoY → healthy top-line growth.
Net income: 55.052M, +275.14% YoY → sharp profitability improvement (likely operating leverage and/or one-off benefits, but the trend is clearly strong in the data provided).
EPS: 0.34, +277.78% YoY → earnings power accelerating.
Gross margin: 37.4, +21.67% YoY → meaningful margin expansion supporting durability of earnings growth.
Flows/holders: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral (no notable recent accumulation signal).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent change: (2026-01-16) JPMorgan raised price target to $27 from $24.50 and maintained Overweight.
Trend implication: rating is positive, but the target sits below the current pre-market price (~29.5), which effectively signals limited upside from here using that framework.
Wall Street pros: Improving fundamentals and an Overweight stance support the longer-term story.
Wall Street cons: Target/price mismatch suggests the stock may be ahead of analysts’ near-term valuation comfort.
Political/influential trading check: No recent congress trading data available; no notable insider trading trend flagged.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CAAP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CAAP is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 28.240

Low

Averages

High

Current: 28.240

Low

Averages

High

JPMorgan

NULL -> Overweight

maintain

$27

AI Analysis

2026-01-16

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$27

AI Analysis

2026-01-16

maintain

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Corporacion America Airport to $27 from $24.50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model.

JPMorgan

NULL -> Overweight

maintain

$24

2025-07-02

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$24

2025-07-02

maintain

NULL -> Overweight

Reason

JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Corporacion America Airport to $24 from $22.50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares after "marginal changes" to the firm's estimates to incorporate Q1 results and updated macro assumptions.

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CAAP Should I Buy

CAAP Should I Buy

Should You Buy Corporacion America Airports SA (CAAP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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