Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: BW is extended into resistance (pre-market ~$11.30 above R1=$11 and approaching R2=$11.861) with short-term overbought conditions.
Street price targets skew below the current price (latest notable target $10 vs. ~$11+), limiting near-term upside unless new catalysts emerge.
Options positioning is aggressively call-heavy (bullish sentiment), but that also raises the risk of a near-term pullback after a strong run.
With no Intellectia buy signals today and statistical pattern odds pointing to mild downside over the next week/month, the better trade is to avoid chasing and instead sell/trim into strength if already long.
Levels: Pivot support ~9.605; key resistance: R1=11 (already exceeded pre-market), next resistance R2=11.861.
Pattern-based expectation: Similar-pattern stats imply ~-1.85% over next week and ~-3.34% over next month, reinforcing “don’t chase here.”
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/Call OI ratio 0.26 and put volume near zero signal strongly bullish positioning (call-dominant).
Activity: Today’s volume (2004) is below 5D/10D averages, but open interest is elevated (today vs OI avg 30D = 140.6%), suggesting positioning is already built.
Volatility: IV 30D ~149.92 vs HV ~130.77 (IV > realized), implying options are pricing large moves; can precede sharp swings after big runs.
Takeaway: Options market leans bullish, but with price stretched, the risk/reward for a fresh buy is unfavorable right now.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
Insider activity: Insiders are buying, with buying amount up ~113.98% over the last month (constructive signal).
Business narrative (analyst view): “Transformational 2025” with de-levering actions and a large $1.5B data-center-related power plant contract cited as a multi-year growth driver.
Technical backdrop: Uptrend intact with bullish moving-average stack and positive MACD momentum.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
sit well below current ~$11+, creating valuation/expectations friction.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $149.011M, down -2.37% YoY (soft top-line trend).
Profitability: Net income $31.377M, down -446.82% YoY; EPS $0.30, down -400.00% YoY (earnings volatility/weak YoY comp).
Margin: Gross margin 24.93%, up +5.37% YoY (a bright spot—cost/mix improvement).
Overall: Improving gross margin, but growth and bottom-line consistency look weak in the latest quarter.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent tone: Improving/constructive, led by Northland initiating Outperform (2026-01-22), but earlier coverage included a Neutral stance (DA Davidson) despite a raised target.
Price targets: Northland initiated at $10; DA Davidson raised to $6—both are below the current ~$11+ area, implying Wall Street’s published upside is limited at today’s price.
Wall Street pros: De-levering progress, major contract wins tied to data center power buildout, potential multi-year growth runway.
Wall Street cons: Targets lag the current price after the run-up; execution risk and financial volatility evident in YoY earnings/EPS declines.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no politician activity indicated in the provided data.
Wall Street analysts forecast BW stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BW is 9 USD with a low forecast of 9 USD and a high forecast of 9 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BW stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BW is 9 USD with a low forecast of 9 USD and a high forecast of 9 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 8.520
Low
9
Averages
9
High
9
Current: 8.520
Low
9
Averages
9
High
9
Northland
Jeff Grampp
Outperform
initiated
$10
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
Reason
Northland
Jeff Grampp
Price Target
$10
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Northland analyst Jeff Grampp initiated coverage of Babcock & Wilcox with an Outperform rating and $10 price target. The thermal power and energy infrastructure engineering company had "a transformational 2025" that included significant de-levering through asset sales and capital raises along with a $1.5B contract to build a power plant for a data center, the analyst tells investors. The firm expects significant growth over the next several years through an improving base business and the data center contract, the analyst added.
Clarksons
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
NOK 150
2025-12-03
Reason
Clarksons
Price Target
NOK 150
2025-12-03
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
Clarksons upgraded BW LPG to Buy from Neutral with a NOK 150 price target. The firm cites valuation for the upgrade.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for BW
