Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is popping pre-market (+3.01% to ~37.69) into a zone where momentum is mixed (bearish MACD) and near-term edge looks limited.
Bullish longer-term structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) is constructive, but the short-term momentum signal is currently deteriorating.
With earnings (Q4 2025) due after-hours on 2026-02-26, the next decisive move is likely event-driven; without a proprietary buy signal today, the risk/reward for immediate entry is not compelling.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) supports an uptrend bias on the bigger picture.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.384 (below zero and negatively expanding) = weakening upside / rising downside momentum risk in the near term.
RSI (6): 53.11 (neutral), not confirming an overbought/oversold edge.
Levels: Pivot 37.038 (price pre-mkt ~37.69 is just above); Support S1 33.793, S2 31.788; Resistance R1 40.283, R2 42.288. Upside is likely to face supply into ~40–42.
Pattern-based short-horizon odds: Similar-pattern model suggests ~60% chance of a small pullback next day (-0.77%), which argues against chasing the pre-market strength.
Positioning/sentiment: Very low put/call OI (0.15) and zero put volume today implies bullish-to-speculative call skew (market not hedging much with puts).
Volatility: IV 30D ~64.81 vs HV ~56.46; IV percentile 80.8 = options priced rich, consistent with event risk (earnings upcoming). Bullish skew, but expensive premiums and potential for post-event IV crush.
Technical Summary
Sell
1
Buy
12
Positive Catalysts
on 2026-01-26, supporting higher perceived upside.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Near-term technical momentum is weakening (MACD negative and expanding), increasing the odds of a pullback despite bullish moving averages.
Event risk: Earnings can gap the stock either direction; current high IV suggests the market is pricing a sizeable move.
No supportive “smart money” signal: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral; no notable recent accumulation signals in provided data.
No politician/influential trading signal available to corroborate bullishness (none reported).
Profitability: Net income 167,149,000 (-29.45% YoY) and EPS 0.66 (-29.03% YoY) = earnings contraction despite higher revenue.
Margins: Gross margin 48.24 (+26.02% YoY) improved, implying the EPS decline likely came from below-gross-line items (e.g., costs, taxes, FX, other charges) rather than core gross profitability alone.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Most recent: Scotiabank (2026-01-26) kept Sector Perform (neutral) while raising PT to $42 from $27 (material upward revision, but rating still not a Buy).
Prior: Scotiabank (2025-11-07) kept Sector Perform and nudged PT to $27.50 from $27.
Wall Street pro view (from provided coverage): Pros—higher gold/silver forecasts and higher PT imply improved macro/supportive commodity backdrop. Cons—rating remains neutral, suggesting upside exists but not enough conviction to call it a clear buy at current levels.
Wall Street analysts forecast BVN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BVN is 25.5 USD with a low forecast of 24 USD and a high forecast of 27 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BVN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BVN is 25.5 USD with a low forecast of 24 USD and a high forecast of 27 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 35.000
Low
24
Averages
25.5
High
27
Current: 35.000
Low
24
Averages
25.5
High
27
Scotiabank
Tanya Jakusconek
Sector Perform
upgrade
$27 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
Reason
Scotiabank
Tanya Jakusconek
Price Target
$27 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
upgrade
Sector Perform
Reason
Scotiabank analyst Tanya Jakusconek raised the firm's price target on Buenaventura to $42 from $27 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for Gold & Precious Minerals stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. The firm has increased both gold and silver forecasts, supported by economic and geopolitical uncertainty as well as strong central bank buying.
Scotiabank
Sector Perform
maintain
$27
2025-11-07
Reason
Scotiabank
Price Target
$27
2025-11-07
maintain
Sector Perform
Reason
Scotiabank raised the firm's price target on Buenaventura to $27.50 from $27 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price target on the stock following Q3 results, the analyst tells investors. The firm notes San Gabriel construction continues, with production expected in Q4 and ramp up into 2026.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for BVN
