Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: BTI is extended (RSI-6 ~84) and trading near a key resistance area, so upside is less attractive vs. near-term pullback risk.
Trend is clearly bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200; MACD expanding), so it’s a solid stock to own on dips—but at the current pre-market level it’s closer to a “chase” than a clean entry.
Options show mildly bullish positioning (OI put/call < 1) but elevated implied volatility (IV percentile 88) suggests you’re paying up for uncertainty, not getting a cheap entry.
With no proprietary buy signals today (AI Stock Picker/SwingMax) and no fresh news catalyst, the risk/reward favors waiting rather than buying at the open.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: Bullish structure with moving averages stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.412 and expanding → momentum is still improving.
Overbought: RSI_6 = 84.243 → stretched/overbought conditions; historically increases odds of a near-term pause or pullback.
Pattern-based outlook: Similar-pattern stats imply modest edge near-term (next day +0.09%) with better drift over 1 week (+1.58%) and 1 month (+6.4%), but current overbought readings reduce attractiveness of buying “right now.”
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call = 0.64 → more calls than puts outstanding (constructive/bullish tilt).
Trading flow: Volume put/call = 0.96 → today’s trading is close to balanced (not a strong one-way bullish bet).
Volatility: 30D IV 26.94 vs historical vol 17.59 → options are priced rich relative to realized movement.
IV percentile 88 (elevated) → market is pricing higher-than-usual uncertainty; this often coincides with less favorable “buy now” timing for stock entries.
Liquidity/Activity: Today’s option volume 1,254 is below 5D/10D averages (1,806.8 / 2,571.9) → no notable surge in speculative activity supporting an immediate breakout chase.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Technical uptrend remains intact (bullish MA stack + positive/expanding MACD).
Pattern-based statistics suggest positive drift over the next month (+6.4%).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
while price is pressing near R2 (~62.
→ higher probability of consolidation/pullback.
Financial Performance
Financial snapshot unavailable (data error: list index out of range), so latest quarter/season growth trends cannot be validated from the provided dataset.
No additional fundamentals (revenue/earnings/margins) were provided to confirm recent operating momentum.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target trend: Mostly upward price targets and multiple Buy stances (Deutsche Bank to 4,900 GBp; Citi to 4,850 GBp; Kepler Cheuvreux initiated Buy at 4,900 GBp).
Key bearish counterweight: Morgan Stanley stays Underweight while nudging target to 3,050 GBp → indicates valuation/structural concerns remain for some on Wall Street.
Wall Street pros vs cons (net view): Pros—global nicotine leadership narrative and shareholder-return profile cited by bullish shops; Cons—at least one major bank remains underweight, signaling continued skepticism despite target increases.
Insider/politician activity: Insiders neutral (no significant recent trend). No recent Congress trading data available; no influential-figure buys/sells provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast BTI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BTI is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast BTI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BTI is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 61.960
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 61.960
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Kepler Cheuvreux
Emanuele Sartori
Buy
initiated
£4,900
AI Analysis
2025-12-12
Reason
Kepler Cheuvreux
Emanuele Sartori
Price Target
£4,900
AI Analysis
2025-12-12
initiated
Buy
Reason
Kepler Cheuvreux analyst Emanuele Sartori initiated coverage of British American Tobacco with a Buy rating and 4,900 GBp price target. The firm says British American is a global leader in nicotine with a region- and product-driven model that prioritizes key brands to achieve strong consumer retention and deliver high shareholder returns.
Morgan Stanley
Rashad Kawan
Underweight
maintain
2025-12-10
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Rashad Kawan
Price Target
2025-12-10
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Rashad Kawan raised the firm's price target on British American Tobacco to 3,050 GBp from 3,000 GBp and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for BTI
