Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: technical momentum is soft (MACD histogram negative and worsening) and there are no proprietary buy signals.
Options positioning is mildly bullish on open interest (put/call 0.47) but near-neutral on volume (0.97), suggesting limited conviction for an immediate upside move.
Fundamentals are steady but not accelerating (revenue up slightly; EPS and net income slightly down), and there are no near-term news catalysts to force a breakout.
With earnings on 2026-02-23 (after hours), the next clear catalyst is still weeks away, so the current setup doesn’t favor an urgent entry.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.00757 below zero and negatively expanding → weakening momentum / bearish bias near-term.
RSI: RSI(6) at 42.7 → neutral-to-soft, not oversold enough to suggest a strong bounce setup.
Moving averages: converging MAs → consolidation/chop, typically not an optimal “must-buy-now” condition.
Levels: Using provided pivots, near-term map is S2 12.914 / S1 13.048 / Pivot 13.266 / R1 13.484 / R2 13.618. Current pre-market (~14.82) sits above these listed resistance references, implying the stock may be extended versus those near-term pivot levels.
Pattern-based forward odds (similar candlesticks): +0.73% next day, +0.15% next week, -0.98% next month → skewed toward flat-to-down over a month.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment (Open Interest): Put/Call OI = 0.47 (puts meaningfully lower than calls) → positioning leans bullish.
Sentiment (Volume): Put/Call Volume = 0.97 → nearly balanced day-to-day trading; not a strong directional tell.
Volatility: IV 30D 36.78 vs historical vol 19.86 → options pricing implies elevated uncertainty; IV percentile 90.4 suggests IV is high vs its own history (options relatively expensive).
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
suggests investors are leaning more bullish than bearish.
on 2026-02-23 after hours could act as a catalyst if results/outlook beat expectations.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No Intellectia buy triggers: AI Stock Picker has no signal; SwingMax has no recent signal → no model-confirmed timing edge.
Technical momentum is deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and expanding), increasing odds of drift/downside before any sustained move.
No news in the past week → lack of event-driven fuel for an impatient “buy now” thesis.
Earnings are still ahead (2026-02-23), which can keep price action range-bound until the catalyst approaches.
Forward pattern stats show slightly negative bias over the next month (-0.98%).
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent trend summary cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
Wall Street pro view (based strictly on provided data): No clear positive/negative analyst-driven catalyst or consensus upgrade cycle is visible here.
Wall Street analysts forecast BSM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BSM is 13 USD with a low forecast of 13 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BSM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BSM is 13 USD with a low forecast of 13 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 14.880
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Current: 14.880
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Piper Sandler
Neutral
downgrade
$14 -> $13
AI Analysis
2025-08-14
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$14 -> $13
AI Analysis
2025-08-14
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Black Stone Minerals to $13 from $14 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says that it's been a challenging investing environment in E&P to say the least, and coming out of Q2 results it feels even more so. Gas equities had been a relative safe haven on near-term LNG capacity adds and long-term demand from power/data center, but supply continues to surprise to the upside despite lower associated levels of activity. There certainly were some positives out of Q2, Piper notes, with operators continuing to drive efficiencies driving capex lower to drive the same output, while tax legislation in the "One Big Beautiful Bill" is driving incremental free cash flow across the group, or at least offsetting a weaker commodity strip.
Piper Sandler
Neutral
downgrade
$15 -> $14
2025-05-13
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$15 -> $14
2025-05-13
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Black Stone Minerals to $14 from $15 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Coming out of Q1 2025 earnings, the firm is adjusting its near-term commodity price forecast, maintaining its long-term mid-cycle oil and raising mid-cycle gas to $3.50 from $3.25. In E&P, Piper continues to look for a balance of operational flexibility, deep high-return inventory runways and low reinvestment rates through FY26.
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