Buy now (tactical rebound setup): Price is extremely oversold (RSI_6 ~12.5) and sitting near the next technical support zone (S1 ~188 / S2 ~181), which favors a snap-back move rather than chasing strength.
Fundamentals/news are supportive: Q2 FY2026 beat and raised guidance provide a near-term catalyst backdrop.
Sentiment is mixed but investable: Options positioning is notably defensive (put-heavy), but hedge funds and Congress are net buyers—often consistent with accumulation after a sharp drawdown.
Trend: Still bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating the bigger-picture downtrend remains intact.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative and expanding (-2.183), signaling downside momentum is still present.
Oversold condition: RSI_6 at ~12.5 is deeply oversold—statistically increases the odds of a short-term bounce.
Key levels: Pivot ~199.1 (reclaiming this would improve the tape); resistance at ~210 then ~216.7. Support at ~188.2 (already being tested) then ~181.5.
Pattern-based forward bias (provided): Similar-pattern stats imply weakness near-term (next day/week) but upside over a month (+5.19% next month), aligning with a rebound-style entry rather than trend-following.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Put open interest (2422) materially exceeds calls (789) → bearish/hedged stance into the move.
Activity: Volume is light in absolute terms (20 contracts) but elevated vs recent averages (today vs avg 30D volume ~46.5%), suggesting increased attention.
Volatility: IV 30D ~26.0 vs historical vol ~19.1, and IV percentile ~80.4 → options pricing implies elevated uncertainty; market is paying up for protection.
2026-01-23 (DA Davidson): PT cut $240 → $228 pre-Q2; expected some softness in event-driven proxy/distribution.
2025-11-13 (UBS): Neutral; PT cut $280 → $250.
Wall St. pros/cons summary: Pros—secular tailwinds, recurring revenue growth, guidance raise, valuation more attractive after selloff. Cons—multiple compression risk and narrative risks (tokenization/AI), plus near-term technical weakness.
Wall Street analysts forecast BR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BR is 267.8 USD with a low forecast of 240 USD and a high forecast of 305 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BR is 267.8 USD with a low forecast of 240 USD and a high forecast of 305 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 193.540
Low
240
Averages
267.8
High
305
Current: 193.540
Low
240
Averages
267.8
High
305
JPMorgan
Neutral
downgrade
$273 -> $229
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$273 -> $229
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Broadridge to $229 from $273 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company reported a strong revenue beat but maintained its fiscal year outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Needham
Buy
downgrade
$305 -> $255
2026-02-04
New
Reason
Needham
Price Target
$305 -> $255
2026-02-04
New
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Needham lowered the firm's price target on Broadridge to $255 from $305 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's Q2 results beat the Street estimates on the top and bottom line, as higher event-driven revenue, solid organic growth, and recent M&A all contributed to the solid quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The selloff in the stock however was due to a broad-based retreat in the peer group in response to a few high profile earnings misses in the space, the firm adds.
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